乌克兰人口可持续性及其因俄乌战争而发生的变化

Q2 Social Sciences

Journal of Population and Social Studies Pub Date : 2024-01-19 DOI:10.25133/jpssv322024.026

Roman Tesliuk

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引用次数: 0

摘要

文章的主要任务包括分析当前全面战争（1989-2021 年）前乌克兰人口可持续性主要参数的变化，并评估战争导致的人口数量、结构和领土变化。乌克兰国家统计局和国际移民组织的数据库、乌克兰政府的官方报告以及专家数据是人口统计数据的主要来源。我利用指数分析工具研究了乌克兰及其各地区生育和年龄性别平衡的变化。自 20 世纪 90 年代中期以来，乌克兰的人口再生产危机不断加深，表现为人口大规模减少，年龄和性别平衡恶化。利用聚类分析方法，对乌克兰进行了人口区划。俄罗斯的全面入侵灾难性地削弱了乌克兰人口的可持续性。战争导致数以万计的乌克兰公民死亡，数以百万计的乌克兰公民迁徙，加剧了人口性别和年龄结构的严重畸形。研究结果可用于制定社会和人口政策措施。研究的局限性在于缺乏可靠的移民数据。

本文章由计算机程序翻译，如有差异，请以英文原文为准。

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Demographic Sustainability of Ukraine and Its Changes Caused by the Russian-Ukrainian War

The article’s main tasks include analyzing changes in the main parameters of Ukraine’s demographic sustainability before the current full-scale war (1989–2021) and assessing the quantitative, structural, and territorial demographic changes caused by it. The databases of the State Statistics Service of Ukraine and the International Organization for Migration, official reports of the Ukrainian Government, and expert data are the primary sources of demographic statistics. I used the index analysis tools to study changes in the reproductive and age-sex balances in Ukraine and its regions. Since the mid-1990s, Ukraine has been experiencing a deepening demographic reproduction crisis, manifested in a large-scale population decline and a deterioration in age and gender balance. Using the cluster analysis method, the demographic zoning of Ukraine is carried out. Russia’s full-scale invasion has catastrophically weakened Ukraine’s demographic sustainability. As a result of the war, tens of thousands of Ukrainian citizens died, and millions migrated, which deepened significant deformations in the sex and age structure of the population. The obtained results can be used to develop social and demographic policy measures. The study’s limitations are related to the lack of reliable migration data.

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来源期刊

Journal of Population and Social Studies Social Sciences-Anthropology

CiteScore

1.40

自引率

0.00%

发文量

期刊介绍： Journal of Population and Social Studies (JPSS) is an open access peer-reviewed journal that is published by the Institute for Population and Social Research, Mahidol University. Journal of Population and Social Studies (JPSS) has ceased its hard copy publication in 2013, became an online only journal since 2014 and currently publishes 4 issues per year. Yet, Journal of Population and Social Studies (JPSS) continues to be a free* of charge journal for publication. Journal of Population and Social Studies (JPSS) welcomes contributions from the fields of demography, population studies and other related disciplines including health sciences, sociology, anthropology, population economics, population geography, human ecology, political science, statistics, and methodological issues. The subjects of articles range from population and family changes, population ageing, sexuality, gender, reproductive health, population and environment, population and health, migration, urbanization and Labour, determinants and consequences of population changes to social and behavioral aspects of population. Our aim is to provide a platform for the researchers, academicians, professional, practitioners and graduate students from all around the world to share knowledge on the empirical and theoretical research papers, case studies, literature reviews and book reviews that are of interest to the academic community, policy-makers and practitioners.