前科维德时期非洲的公共债务与经济增长:控制腐败的作用

A. Abotsi, Isaac Kwesi Ampah
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引用次数: 0

摘要

有证据表明,最近非洲的公共债务不断增加,而经济增长却很低,这要归咎于 COVID-19 大流行病和俄罗斯-乌克兰战争造成的地缘政治紧张局势。有证据表明,近期非洲在低投资的同时腐败现象也很严重,因此,即使在 COVID-19 大流行病和俄乌战争造成的地缘政治紧张局势之前,通过控制腐败的调解,从经验上找出公共债务对非洲国家人均经济增长的影响也是发人深省的。研究使用了《世界发展指标》、《世界经济展望》和《全球治理指标》中的二手数据。年度数据的时间跨度为 1996 年至 2019 年,涉及 45 个国家。研究采用了动态面板数据估算技术,并对其他变量进行了控制。研究结果表明,在 COVID-19 大流行爆发之前,债务总额占 GDP 的百分比对经济增长有负面影响,但公共债务总额的过度积累和腐败控制对非洲国家的人均经济增长有积极的互动影响。在这个公共债务高企的 COVID 时代,各国政府可以通过资助适当的基础设施来减少债务,同时控制腐败,以提高本国的经济增长。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Public Debt and Economic Growth in Africa in the Pre-Covid Era: The Role of Control of Corruption
There is evidence of recent rising public debts and low economic growth in Africa which is being attributed to the COVID-19 pandemic and the geopolitical tensions from the Russia-Ukraine war. With the evidence of also recent high corruption amidst low investments in Africa, it is thought-provoking to find empirically how public debt impact on economic growth per capita among African countries even before the COVID-19 pandemic and the geopolitical tensions from the Russia-Ukraine war with the mediation of control of corruption. The study used secondary data from the World Development Indicators, World Economic Outlook, and Worldwide Governance Indicators. The annual data spans from 1996 to 2019 for 45 countries. The study deployed a dynamic panel data estimation technique and controlled for other variables. The findings show a negative impact of gross debt percentage of GDP on economic growth but a positive interactive effect of excessive accumulation of gross public debt and the control of corruption on economic growth per capita among countries in Africa before the outbreak of the COVID-19 pandemic. In this COVID era of high public debt, governments can reduce their indebtedness by financing appropriate infrastructure while controlling corruption to increase the economic growth in their countries.
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期刊介绍: International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues (IJEFI) is the international academic journal, and is a double-blind, peer-reviewed academic journal publishing high quality conceptual and measure development articles in the areas of economics, finance and related disciplines. The journal has a worldwide audience. The journal''s goal is to stimulate the development of economics, finance and related disciplines theory worldwide by publishing interesting articles in a highly readable format. The journal is published Bimonthly (6 issues per year) and covers a wide variety of topics including (but not limited to): Macroeconomcis International Economics Econometrics Business Economics Growth and Development Regional Economics Tourism Economics International Trade Finance International Finance Macroeconomic Aspects of Finance General Financial Markets Financial Institutions Behavioral Finance Public Finance Asset Pricing Financial Management Options and Futures Taxation, Subsidies and Revenue Corporate Finance and Governance Money and Banking Markets and Institutions of Emerging Markets Public Economics and Public Policy Financial Economics Applied Financial Econometrics Financial Risk Analysis Risk Management Portfolio Management Financial Econometrics.
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