埃塞俄比亚安博县农村地区农民选择气候变化适应战略的决定因素

Gutema Fekadu, Daniel Belay
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摘要

了解影响农民选择适应战略的因素对于制定适应政策至关重要。本文利用埃塞俄比亚安博县农村地区农民的数据,研究了农民选择气候变化适应策略的决定因素。我们采用多项式对数模型来确定农民选择气候变化适应战略的决定因素。结果表明,农业生态、年龄、性别、教育程度、家庭规模、在职劳动力、牲畜拥有量、信贷渠道、推广服务渠道、农业收入以及农民之间的推广对农民的适应策略选择有积极影响。相反,与农场的距离和农场规模与农民的适应策略选择呈负相关。以下影响值得考虑,以改善农民对抵消气候变化影响的适应方案的采用:投资教育系统、加强推广服务、获得信贷设施以及提供推荐的农业投入。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Determinant of Farmers’ Choice of Adaptation Strategies to Climate Change in Rural Areas of Ambo District, Ethiopia
An understanding of the factors that shape farmers’ choice of adaptation strategies is critical to developing adaptation policies. This paper investigates the determinants of the choice of adaptation strategies to climate change using data from farmers in rural areas of Ambo district, Ethiopia. We employed a multinomial logit model to identify the determinants of farmers’ choice of adaptation strategies to climate change. The results indicate that agro-ecology, age, gender, education, household size, active labor force, livestock ownership, credit access, extension service access, farm income, and farmer-to-farmer extension positively influence farmers’ choice of adaptation strategies. On the contrary, distance to the farm and farm size are negatively related to farmers’ choices of adaptation strategies. The following implications are worthy of consideration for improving farmers’ adoption of adaptation options to offset the impact of climate change: investment in the educational system, strengthening the extension service, access to credit facilities, and the provision of recommended agricultural inputs.
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