利用最大熵模型预测泰国湄南河亚洲红尾猫(Hemibagrus wyckioides Fang and Chaux, 1949)的潜在分布区

IF 0.6 4区 综合性期刊 Q3 MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES
Anupong Saeng-arun, Wut Taksintum
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引用次数: 0

摘要

Hemibagrus wyckioides 被认为是泰国一种具有重要经济价值的淡水鱼。然而,目前还没有关于泰国 Hemibagrus wyckioides 的地理分布和栖息地适宜性的全面数据。此外,其自然种群数量有持续减少的趋势。本研究旨在利用最大熵(MaxEnt)算法,基于气候因素(包括世界气候数据库中的 11 个温度指数和 8 个降水指数)预测 H. wyckioides 在泰国湄南河的适宜分布区域。模型性能通过接收器工作特征曲线下面积(AUC)进行评估。使用千斤顶检验来评估每个变量对模型的贡献。结果表明,MaxEnt 模型表现良好,AUC 值为 0.939,在预测湄南河中 H. wyckioides 的适当分布区方面具有极高的准确性。H. wyckioides 的潜在分布区主要位于新武里府和昂通府的湄南河沿岸。根据 jackknife 检验结果,有 11 个气候变量会影响 H. wyckioides 的分布。年平均气温(BIO1)、最干旱月份降水量(BIO14)和年温差(BIO7)是最重要的影响变量,影响值分别为 53.5%、15.9% 和 11.9%。因此,了解潜在的分布区有助于研究人员开展监测、管理和保护活动,或在湄南河的优质地区开发新的 H. wyckioides 自然保护区。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Predicting the Potential Distribution Areas of the Asian Redtail Catfi sh (Hemibagrus wyckioides Fang and Chaux, 1949) in the Chao Phraya River, Thailand, using Maximum Entropy Modelling
Hemibagrus wyckioides is recognized as an economically important freshwater fi sh in Thailand. However, there are no available comprehensive data regarding the geographic distribution and habitat suitability of H. wyckioides in Thailand. In addition, its natural population has tended to continuously decrease. This study aimed to predict the suitable distribution areas of H. wyckioides in the Chao Phraya River, Thailand, using the maximum entropy (MaxEnt) algorithm based on climatic factors, including 11 temperature and 8 precipitation indices from the WorldClim database. Model performance was evaluated by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). The jackknife test was used to assess the contribution of each variable to the model. The results revealed that the MaxEnt model performed acceptably well, with an AUC value of 0.939, representing excellent accuracy in predicting the appropriate distribution areas of H. wyckioides in the Chao Phraya River. The potential distribution areas of H. wyckioides were observed mostly along the Chao Phraya River in Sing Buri and Ang Thong Provinces. According to the results of the jackknife test, 11 climatic variables impacted the distribution of H. wyckioides. The annual mean temperature (BIO1), precipitation of driest month (BIO14), and annual temperature range (BIO7) were the most important infl uencing variables, with impact values of 53.5%, 15.9%, and 11.9%, respectively. Therefore, understanding the potential distribution areas can assist researchers in monitoring, management, and conservation activities or with the development of new natural protected areas of H. wyckioides in high-quality areas in the Chao Phraya River.
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来源期刊
Chiang Mai Journal of Science
Chiang Mai Journal of Science MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES-
CiteScore
1.00
自引率
25.00%
发文量
103
审稿时长
3 months
期刊介绍: The Chiang Mai Journal of Science is an international English language peer-reviewed journal which is published in open access electronic format 6 times a year in January, March, May, July, September and November by the Faculty of Science, Chiang Mai University. Manuscripts in most areas of science are welcomed except in areas such as agriculture, engineering and medical science which are outside the scope of the Journal. Currently, we focus on manuscripts in biology, chemistry, physics, materials science and environmental science. Papers in mathematics statistics and computer science are also included but should be of an applied nature rather than purely theoretical. Manuscripts describing experiments on humans or animals are required to provide proof that all experiments have been carried out according to the ethical regulations of the respective institutional and/or governmental authorities and this should be clearly stated in the manuscript itself. The Editor reserves the right to reject manuscripts that fail to do so.
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