政府经常性开支对尼日利亚经济繁荣的影响

A. O. Igwe, Oliver Ikechukwu Inyiama
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摘要

本研究调查了尼日利亚政府经常性支出对经济繁荣的影响。研究的具体目标是考察行政支出、经济服务支出以及社会和社区服务(政府经常性支出的替代)对尼日利亚国民生产总值(经济繁荣的替代)的影响。本研究采用事后研究设计,从尼日利亚中央银行 1981 - 2022 年统计公报中提取二手数据。假设检验采用了多元回归法。研究结果表明,行政管理经常性支出(GREA)对尼日利亚国民生产总值(GNP)的正向影响在统计上不显著,t 统计量为 -0.710148,P 值为 0.4821。另一方面,经济服务经常性支出(GREES)对尼日利亚国民生产总值(GNP)有显著的正向影响,t 统计量为 2.106309,p 值为 0.0420。与行政管理方面的经常性支出一样,社会和社区服务方面的经常性支出(GRESCS)对尼日利亚国民生产总值的正向影响在统计上不显著,t 统计量为 1.835944,P 值为 0.0744。这意味着只有经济服务方面的经常性支出可以用来预测尼日利亚的经济繁荣程度。该研究建议,应通过减少不必要的成本、简化流程、定期绩效评估和采用现代技术来提高行政效率。其次,投资应优先考虑交通、能源和电信等关键基础设施项目,以刺激经济增长和创造就业机会。最后,鼓励开展有针对性的社会计划,以应对减贫、医疗保健和教育等具体挑战,确保资金充足,切实惠及受益人,同时投资医疗保健基础设施,支持社区发展项目,减少不平等现象,促进社会稳定,为公民福祉带来长期惠益。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Effect of Government Recurrent Expenditure on Economic Prosperity in Nigeria
The study investigated effect of government recurrent expenditure on economic prosperity in Nigeria. The specific objectives of the study were to examine effect of administration expenditure, economic services expenditure, and social and community services (which are proxies for government recurrent expenditure) on gross national product (proxied by economic prosperity) in Nigeria. The study adopted ex-post facto research design and secondary data were extracted from the CBN Statistical Bulletin for the period 1981 – 2022. The multiple regression was used for the test of hypotheses. Findings showed that, recurrent expenditure on administration (GREA) have a statistically non-significant positive effect on Gross National Product (GNP) in Nigeria with a t-statistic of -0.710148 and p-value of 0.4821. On the other hand, recurrent expenditure on economic services (GREES) has a statistically significant positive effect on GNP in Nigeria with a t-statistic of 2.106309 and p-value of 0.0420. In line with recurrent expenditure on administration, recurrent expenditure on social and community services (GRESCS) have a statistically non-significant positive effect on GNP in Nigeria with a t-statistic of 1.835944 and p-value of 0.0744. This implies that only recurrent expenditure on economic services can be used to predict economic prosperity in Nigeria. The study recommended that administrative efficiency should be improved through the reduction of unnecessary costs and streamlining of processes, supported by regular performance evaluations and the adoption of modern technology. Secondly, investments should prioritize critical infrastructure projects like transportation, energy, and telecommunications, aiming to stimulate economic growth and job creation. Lastly, targeted social programs are encouraged to address specific challenges such as poverty reduction, healthcare access, and education, ensuring adequate funding and effective reach to beneficiaries, while also investing in healthcare infrastructure and supporting community development projects that reduce inequality and promote social stability, resulting in long-term benefits for citizens' well-being.
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