污水管网长期修复规划的多目标优化方法:案例研究

Ph R Sampaio, N. Caradot, A. Guilbert, V. Parez
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在过去的几十年里,市政当局越来越多地投资于修复污水网络的新方法。随着修复技术、目标和限制因素的增多,修复方案的数量也成倍增加。本文提出了一种资产管理方法来制定长期修复计划,根据性能和成本指标,每年考虑对修复技术进行不同的预算分配。它通过多目标黑箱优化建立长期战略,其中预算分配对网络生命周期的影响是决策过程的一部分。它采用了一个基于马尔可夫链的管道劣化模型,该模型的过渡矩阵是通过不同管道队列的生存曲线估算出来的。所提出的方法旨在确定未来几十年的适当投资(CAPEX)和运营费用(OPEX)水平。该方法利用保加利亚索非亚污水网络的实际数据进行了测试,结果表明它能提供高效的长期修复计划。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A multiobjective optimization approach for wastewater network long-term rehabilitation planning: a case study
During the last decades, municipalities have increasingly invested on new approaches for rehabilitating sewerage networks. With the increasing number of rehabilitation techniques, objectives and constraints, the number of rehabilitation scenarios rises exponentially. This article proposes an asset management approach to create long-term rehabilitation plans where different budget allocations for rehabilitation techniques are considered every year depending on performance and cost indicators. It builds long-term strategies through multiobjective black-box optimization where the impact of the budget allocations over the network life cycle is part of the decision process. It employs a pipe deterioration model based on Markov chains whose transition matrices are estimated by survival curves for different pipe cohorts. The proposed approach seeks to determine the appropriate investment (CAPEX) and operational expenses (OPEX) levels in the coming decades. It was tested with real-world data from a sewerage network in Sofia, Bulgaria, and the results show that it provides efficient long-term rehabilitation plans.
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