COVID-19 和中小企业在商业银行的存款:非洲经济体的证据

A. Y. Saif-Alyousfi
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摘要

本文使用七年数据集和普通最小二乘法估算器,研究了 2016 年至 2022 年 COVID-19 对非洲 13 个国家中小企业存款的影响。值得注意的是,研究发现疫情与中小型企业存款之间存在显著的正向联系,这表明在经济不确定的情况下,中小型企业的储备增加了,这可能是由风险缓解或政府支持所驱动的。国内生产总值(GDP)、通货膨胀率、失业率、外国直接投资(FDI)、汇率和中小企业存款之间的关联显而易见,表明 GDP 的提高与存款的增加相一致,而通货膨胀率和失业率则与存款的减少相关联。外国直接投资产生了积极影响,汇率波动对中小企业存款产生了显著影响,尤其是那些从事国际贸易的中小企业。这些研究结果表明,应重新考虑在不确定时期支持中小企业储备的危机战略以及应对通货膨胀、失业和汇率风险的干预政策。未来对地区细微差别和全球比较的研究将进一步丰富政策制定的内容,使中小型企业在不断变化的经济环境中具有抗风险能力。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
COVID-19 and SMEs deposits with commercial banks: evidence from African economies

This paper examines the impact of COVID-19 on Small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) deposits across 13 African nations from 2016 to 2022, using a seven-year dataset and Ordinary Least Squares estimator. Notably, it uncovers a significant positive link between the pandemic and SMEs deposits, indicating heightened reserves amidst economic uncertainty, potentially driven by risk mitigation or government support. Associations between gross domestic product (GDP), inflation, unemployment, foreign direct investment (FDI), exchange rates, and SMEs deposits were evident, showcasing higher GDP aligning with increased deposits, while inflation and unemployment linked to reduced ones. FDI showed a positive influence, and exchange rate fluctuations notably affected SMEs deposits, especially for those in international trade. These findings emphasize policy reconsideration for crisis strategies supporting SMEs reserves during uncertainty and interventions addressing inflation, unemployment, and exchange rate risks. Future research exploring regional nuances and global comparisons could further enrich policymaking for resilient SMEs amid evolving economic landscapes.

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