弹性老年退休年龄养老金制度下的工作和退休模式:对 1949 年出生的芬兰雇员和自营职业者的登记研究

A. Polvinen, Aart‐Jan Riekhoff, S. Nivalainen, S. Kuivalainen
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摘要

本研究旨在探讨芬兰雇员和自营职业者在灵活的老年退休年龄养老金制度下的工作和退休模式,以及这些模式下的收入发展情况。我们使用了芬兰统计局提供的1949年出生的芬兰出生人口的个人登记数据。在 2011-2019 年的研究期间,该群体的年龄为 62-70 岁。我们使用序列和聚类分析来识别个人在受薪工作、自营职业和退休养老工作之间的典型过渡轨迹。我们的分析得出了十个聚类的解决方案:四个聚类针对退休后没有继续工作的雇员(62%),四个聚类针对退休后继续工作的雇员(26%),两个聚类针对自雇人士(12%)。这些群组因退休时间而异。结果表明,较早领取养老金退休且退休后不再工作的雇员收入较低。他们的收入在老年退休后也有所下降。退休后工作数年的雇员收入较高,在 62 岁至 70 岁之间保持稳定。我们发现两类自营职业者:退休后继续工作的人收入较高,而较早停止工作的人收入较低。结果表明,在灵活的退休制度下,低收入群体和高收入群体之间的不平等可能会加剧。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Patterns of work and retirement in a pension system with a flexible old-age retirement age: a register study of Finnish employees and self-employed persons born in 1949
The aims of this study were to explore patterns of work and retirement of Finnish employees and self-employed persons in a pension system with a flexible old-age retirement age and how income develops in these patterns. We used individual-level register data from Statistics Finland of the total Finnish birth cohort born in 1949. The cohort was 62–70 years old over the study period 2011–2019. Sequence and cluster analyses were used to identify typical trajectories of individuals’ transitions in and out of salaried work and self-employment and work in old-age retirement. Our analysis yielded a ten-cluster solution: four clusters were found for employees who did not continue working in retirement (62%), four clusters for those employees who continued working in retirement (26%), and two clusters for the self-employed (12%). The clusters differed by the timing of retirement. The results showed that employees who retired earlier on an old-age pension and who were not working afterwards had lower incomes. Their incomes also decreased after old-age retirement. Employees who worked for several years in retirement had higher incomes which remained stable between the ages of 62 and 70. We found two types of self-employed persons: those who continued working in retirement with high incomes and those who stopped working earlier and had lower incomes. The results indicate that inequalities between lower and higher income groups might become exacerbated in a flexible retirement system.
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