带最优控制分析的盘尾丝虫病和拉沙热双重感染模型

Kabiru Michael Adeyemo, K. Oshinubi, U. M. Adam, Adejimi Adeniji
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摘要

本文研究和分析了一个具有周期性变异向量和最优控制的盘尾丝虫病和拉沙热(OLF)共同感染模型,以评估控制措施对发病感染的影响。对模型进行了定性研究,以评估其与均衡相关的渐近行为。利用 Lyapunov 函数,我们证明了无病平衡 (DFE) 是全局渐近稳定的;也就是说,相关的基本繁殖数小于 1。当基本繁殖数大于 1 时,我们使用一个合适的非线性 Lyapunov 函数来证明全局渐近稳定的地方病平衡(EE)的存在。此外,我们还利用庞特里亚金(Pontryagin)的最大值原理,建立了最佳控制存在的必要条件和共同感染模型的最优系统。通过研究基本繁殖数量对模型参数的敏感程度,对模型进行了定量分析,并使用 4 阶 Runge-Kutta 技术对模型进行了模拟,以研究处理方法的影响。我们从定量分析中推断出,如果对接触和感染该疾病的人进行有效的治疗和诊断,就能有效控制病毒性疾病的传播。这项工作所取得的成果将有助于适当缓解该疾病。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
A Co-Infection Model for Onchocerciasis and Lassa Fever with Optimal Control Analysis
A co-infection model for onchocerciasis and Lassa fever (OLF) with periodic variational vectors and optimal control is studied and analyzed to assess the impact of controls against incidence infections. The model is qualitatively examined in order to evaluate its asymptotic behavior in relation to the equilibria. Employing a Lyapunov function, we demonstrated that the disease-free equilibrium (DFE) is globally asymptotically stable; that is, the related basic reproduction number is less than unity. When it is bigger than one, we use a suitable nonlinear Lyapunov function to demonstrate the existence of a globally asymptotically stable endemic equilibrium (EE). Furthermore, the necessary conditions for the presence of optimum control and the optimality system for the co-infection model are established using Pontryagin’s maximum principle. The model is quantitatively analyzed by studying how sensitive the basic reproduction number is to the model parameters and the model simulation using Runge–Kutta technique of order 4 is also presented to study the effects of the treatments. We deduced from the quantitative analysis that, if there is an effective treatment and diagnosis of those exposed to and infected with the disease, the spread of the viral disease can be effectively managed. The results presented in this work will be useful for the proper mitigation of the disease.
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