用于股价预测的 GA-LSTM 算法优化器

IF 0.6 Q3 MATHEMATICS
Yohanes Leonardus Sukestiyarno, D. Wiyanti, Lathifatul Azizah, Wahyu Widada
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引用次数: 0

摘要

股票价格的波动使投资者难以看到投资机会。预测技术是帮助投资者克服这一困难的工具之一。长短期记忆(LSTM)是用于预测时间序列的深度学习方法之一。超参数的选择对深度学习的训练和成功影响很大。本研究使用遗传算法(GA)和 LSTM 的混合方法来寻找预测股票价格的合适模型。遗传算法用于优化架构,如历时次数、窗口大小和隐藏层中 LSTM 单元的数量。此外,还使用多个优化器对优化器进行调整,以达到最佳值。从已应用的方法来看,该方法具有良好的准确性,所使用的每个优化器的 MAPE 值均低于 10%。在案例 1 中,产生的误差率相当低,最小 RMSE 值分别为 93.03 和 94.40;在案例 2 中,训练和测试期间的 RMSE 值分别为 104.99 和 150.06。通过亚当优化器的设置,产生了一个相当稳定且较小的值。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Algorithm Optimizer in GA-LSTM for Stock Price Forecasting
Fluctuating stock prices make it difficult for investors to see investment opportunities. One tool that can help investors overcome this is represented by forecasting techniques. Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) is one of deep learning methods used in forecasting time series. The training and success of deep learning is strongly influenced by the selection of hyperparameters. This research uses a hybrid method between the Genetic Algorithm (GA) and LSTM to find a suitable model for predicting stock prices. GA is used in optimizing the architecture such as the number of epochs, window size, and the number of LSTM units in the hidden layer. Tuning optimizer is also carried out using several optimizers to achieve the best value. From method that has been applied, it shows that the method has a good level of accuracy with MAPE values below 10% in every optimizer used. The error rate generated is quite low, in case-1 with a minimum RMSE value of 93.03 and 94.40, & in case-2 with an RMSE value of 104.99 and 150.06 during training and testing. A fairly stable and small value is generated by setting it using the Adam Optimizer.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
0.60
自引率
33.30%
发文量
0
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