气候变化对生态风险和国家安全威胁的影响所带来的脆弱性

Mirela Atanasiu
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引用次数: 0

摘要

气候变化的影响决定了社会经济与自然环境之间相互作用的重大转变,这种现象直接影响(国际、国家、地区)整体安全系统。在安全等式中,不同部门的脆弱性使系统面临威胁和相关风险,它们的存在代表着在确保系统整体复原力方面的差距和失灵。在本文中,我们从以下研究假设出发:脆弱性是气候安全等式中的一个构成要素,被视为一种因果性质的逻辑结构,分别是:气候变化的影响是生态威胁和相关风险的来源,被利用的脆弱性促进或倍增了这些威胁和风险。在这方面,我们的主题集中在一个范围较窄的主题上,即确定有可能被利用来产生针对罗马尼亚国家安全的生态威胁和相关风险的薄弱环节。为了实现我们的目标,我们将从安全与生态之间的跨学科纠葛的角度来探讨 "环境安全"、"气候安全"、"生态学"、"气候变化"、"脆弱性"、"生态风险和威胁 "以及 "复原力 "等概念。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
VULNERABILITIES TRANSPOSED BY CLIMATE CHANGE EFFECTS IN ECOLOGICAL RISKS AND THREATS TO THE NATIONAL SECURITY
Climate changes effects determine major transformations of interactions between socio-economic and natural environment, phenomena that directly affect the overall security (international, national, regional) systems. In the security equation, vulnerabilities in different sectors expose systems to threats and associated risks and their existence represents gaps and malfunctions in assuring systems’ overall resilience. In this paper, we start from the research hypothesis that vulnerabilities are a constitutive element of the climate security equation seen as a logical construction of a causal nature, respectively: the effects of climate changes are the source of ecological threats and associated risks facilitated or multiplied by exploited vulnerabilities whose presence/absence gives the measure of the impact over the respective security system. In this regard, our topic is focused on a narrower subject, namely the identification of vulnerabilities that have the potential to be exploited in generating ecological threats and associated risks against Romanian national security. In order to achieve our goal, concepts like “environmental security”, “climate security”, “ecology”, “climate change”, “vulnerability”, “ecological risks and threats”, and “resilience” will be approached in the capacity of their interdisciplinary entanglement between security and ecology.
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