研究消费分布对 CRRA 估算的影响:基于定量-CCAPM 的方法

Sofia B. Ramos, A. Taamouti, Helena Veiga
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引用次数: 0

摘要

摘要 本文利用量子最大化决策理论,考虑了基于量子的欧拉方程,即资产价格是报酬、消费增长、随机贴现因子、风险规避和消费增长率分布的量子函数。与文献中假设的消费增长率的对数正态性相比,我们采用了更一般的分布假设(对数椭圆分布)。模拟结果表明(1) 下行风险规避程度越高,恒定相对风险规避程度越低;(2) Student-t 分布的尾部越重,每个下行风险规避程度的风险规避程度越高;(3) 当放弃正态性假设时,风险规避与下行风险规避之间的关系曲线向上移动,即使 Student-t 分布的自由度很高,这种移动的幅度也很大。我们的研究结果表明,使用正态分布误差来模拟股票收益率和消费增长率可能会导致低估风险规避系数。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Investigating the Impact of Consumption Distribution on CRRA Estimation: Quantile-CCAPM-Based Approach
Abstract Using quantile maximization decision theory, this paper considers a quantile-based Euler equation that states that the asset price is a function of the quantiles of the payoff, consumption growth, the stochastic discount factor, risk aversion, and the distribution of the consumption growth rate. We use a more general distribution assumption (log-elliptical distributions) than the log-normality of the consumption growth rate assumed in the literature. The simulation results show that: (1) the higher the downside risk aversion, the lower the constant relative risk aversion; (2) the heavier the tails of the Student-t distribution, the higher the risk aversion for each level of downside risk aversion; and (3) the curve of the relationship between risk aversion and downside risk aversion shifts upward when the normality assumption is dropped, and the magnitude of this shift is high even for high degrees of freedom of the Student-t distribution. Our results suggest that using normally distributed errors to model stock returns and consumption growth rates could lead to an underestimation of the risk aversion coefficient.
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