利用叠加 GRU 的力量进行准确的天气预测

Mohammad Diqi, Ahmad Wakhid, Wayan Ordiyasa, Nurhadi Wijaya, Marselina Endah Hiswati, Article Info
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引用次数: 0

摘要

这项研究提出了一种使用叠加 GRU(门控循环单元)模型来解决天气预测问题的新方法,旨在提高农业、交通和灾害管理等领域的预测精度。该方法的主要理念是利用叠加 GRU 的时间依赖性和内存管理能力,对复杂的天气模式进行有效建模。全面的数据预处理确保了数据质量,对模型架构和超参数的微调优化了性能。研究表明,Stacked GRU 模型在准确预报温度、气压、湿度和风速方面非常有效,低 RMSE 和 MAE 分数以及高 R2 系数验证了这一点。然而,在湿度预测方面存在挑战,风速预测也存在百分比差异。过度拟合和计算复杂性被认为是潜在的限制因素。尽管存在这些限制,但研究得出结论认为,堆叠 GRU 模型在天气预报中显示出了良好的前景,值得进一步改进,以便在时间序列预测任务中得到更广泛的应用。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Harnessing the Power of Stacked GRU for Accurate Weather Predictions
This research proposed a novel approach using Stacked GRU (Gated Recurrent Unit) models to address the problem of weather prediction and aimed to improve forecasting accuracy in sectors like agriculture, transportation, and disaster management. The key idea involved leveraging the temporal dependencies and memory management capabilities of Stacked GRU to model complex weather patterns effectively. Comprehensive data preprocessing ensured data quality and fine-tuning of the model architecture and hyperparameters optimized performance. The research demonstrated the Stacked GRU model's effectiveness in accurately forecasting temperature, pressure, humidity, and wind speed, validated by low RMSE and MAE scores and high R2 coefficients. However, challenges in forecasting humidity and a percentage discrepancy in wind speed predictions were observed. Overfitting and computational complexity were identified as potential limitations. Despite these constraints, the study concluded that the Stacked GRU model showed promise in weather forecasting and warranted further refinement for broader applications in time-series prediction tasks.
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