生物气候舒适度与气候变化之间的关系:布尔杜尔盆地案例研究

IF 0.8 Q3 FORESTRY
Öznur Işinkaralar, Kaan Işinkaralar, Hakan Şevik, Ömer Küçük
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引用次数: 0

摘要

研究目的:气候变化引发了许多问题,如陆地和海洋生物多样性的丧失、林区的破坏、贫困、不平等和经济发展。生活质量和可持续发展的最重要指标之一是温度、湿度和风力条件,它们处于生物气候舒适值范围内。全球变暖导致的这些参数的变化威胁着城市的活力,影响着城市的空间利用和生活质量。本研究旨在模拟研究区域内生物气候舒适区在气候变化影响下的演变情况。 研究区域:研究在土耳其布尔杜尔盆地进行,该地区包括地下水体、地表水体和湖区。 材料和方法:以 20 年为间隔制作了直至 2100 年的模型。时空变化根据 IPCC 的 SSPs 245 和 SSPs 585 情景生成。不舒适指数(DI)和有效增温风速(ETv)用于确定生物气候舒适度。 主要结果:根据 DI,87.4% 的地区目前处于寒冷区,而到 2100 年,根据 SSP245,50.5% 的地区将处于舒适区,根据 SSP 585,98.3% 的地区将处于舒适区。根据 ETv,今天 92.7% 的地区相当凉爽;到 2100 年,根据 SSP245,90% 的地区将被归类为微凉地区,根据 SSP 585,89.3% 的地区将变成温和地区。 研究重点:研究结果反映了气候变化的空间影响,对流域尺度的整体风险管理具有重要意义
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Biyo-İklimsel Konfor ve İklim Değişikliği İlişkisi: Burdur Havzası'nda Bir Örnek Çalışma
Aim of study: Climate change triggers many problems, such as loss of biodiversity on land and sea, destruction of forest areas, poverty, inequality, and economic development. One of the most vital indicators of quality of life and sustainable development is temperature, humidity, and wind conditions, which are in the range of bio-climatic comfort values. The changes in these parameters due to global warming threaten vitality and affect the use of space and quality of life in cities. The study aimed to model the evolution of bioclimatic comfort zones with the effect of climate change in the research area. Area of study: The research was carried out in the Burdur Basin of Türkiye, which is an area that includes the underground and surface water bodies and the lakes region within its borders. Material and Methods: Models were produced at 20-year intervals until 2100. The spatio-temporal variations are generated according to the IPCC's SSPs 245 and SSPs 585 scenarios. The discomfort index (DI) and Effective warming wind speed (ETv) were used to determine bioclimatic comfort. Main Results: According to the DI, 87.4% of the area will be in the cold zone today, while in 2100, 50.5%, according to the SSP245, and 98.3%, according to the SSP 585 will be in the comfort zone. According to ETv, 92.7% of the area is quite cool today; by 2100, 90% of the site will be classified as slightly cool according to SSP 245, and 89.3%, according to SSP 585 will turn into mild areas. Research highlights: The results of the research reflect the spatial impact of climate change and are significant in terms of holistic risk management at the basin scale
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