概念性论文:分析兰卡威渔业部门由气候引发的金融风险

Nor Arni Nazira Othman, Norhisam Bulot
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摘要

这项拟议研究旨在解决气候变化对浮罗交怡渔业影响这一紧迫问题。虽然这项研究尚未开展,但它为理解气候变化与这一重要行业的财务健康之间的复杂关系提供了一个蓝图。其核心目标是对气候变化带来的金融风险进行全面研究,为决策和战略规划提供有价值的见解。研究设计采用了结构化方法,包括定量分析、时间序列评估、情景建模和空间分析,所有这些都是为有效实现研究目标而量身定制的。预期成果包括量化气候引起的金融风险、确定有影响力的气候变量,以及为该行业提出潜在的适应战略。研究结果一旦实现,将直接为政策制定提供信息,使政策制定者、行业利益相关者和当地社区受益。这些知识将为制定适应性战略和政策提供支持,从而增强该行业在气候变化面前的复原力。认识到潜在的局限性和挑战,包括数据的可用性和质量、假设的有效性以及未来气候情景建模固有的不确定性,本研究提案将发展成为一项综合研究工作。其总体目标是在气候变化的时代,做出明智的决策,降低风险,促进兰卡威渔业的可持续发展。这项研究提出的见解和建议有可能对浮罗交怡的社区产生积极影响,同时为更广泛的环境和经济可持续性讨论做出贡献。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Conceptual Paper: Analyzing Climate-Induced Financial Risks in the Langkawi Fishing Sector
This proposed research addresses the pressing concern of climate change's impact on Langkawi's fishing industry. While the research is yet to be conducted, it offers a blueprint for comprehending the complex relationship between climate change and the financial health of this vital sector. Its central aim is to conduct a comprehensive examination of the financial risks that climate change poses, providing valuable insights for decision-making and strategic planning. The research design employs a structured approach encompassing quantitative analysis, time series assessments, scenario modelling, and spatial analyses, all tailored to effectively address the research objectives. Anticipated outcomes include quantifying climate-induced financial risks, identifying influential climate variables, and proposing potential adaptation strategies for the industry. The findings, once realized, are poised to directly inform policy development, benefiting policymakers, industry stakeholders, and local communities. This knowledge will support the creation of adaptive strategies and policies that enhance the sector's resilience in the face of climate change. Recognizing potential limitations and challenges, including data availability and quality, the validity of assumptions, and the inherent uncertainty in modelling future climate scenarios, this research proposal will evolve into a comprehensive research endeavor. Its overarching goal is to empower informed decisions that mitigate risks and foster the sustainability of Langkawi's fishing sector in an era of climate change. The insights and recommendations emerging from this study offer the potential to positively impact Langkawi's community while contributing to broader discussions on environmental and economic sustainability.
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