探讨土耳其石油价格与经济增长之间的关系

Abdulmecit Yildirim, Gökhan Konat
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究利用 1987-2019 年期间的年度数据研究了土耳其经济增长与石油价格之间是否存在长期关系。首先,使用基于残差增强最小二乘法(RALS)的 ADF 单位根检验来评估变量的静态性。其次,使用基于 RALS 的协整检验来研究变量之间的长期关系。结果表明,土耳其的经济增长与石油价格之间不存在长期关系。因此,得出的结论是,该序列不会长期回归均衡,金融风暴期间的石油价格冲击可能会影响经济增长。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Exploring the Relationship Between Oil Prices and Economic Growth in Türkiye
This study investigates the existence of a long-run relationship between economic growth and oil prices in Türkiye using annual data for the period 1987-2019. First, the stationarity of the variables is evaluated using the Residual Augmented Least Squares (RALS) based ADF unit root test. Second, the RALS-based cointegration test is used to investigate the long-run relationship between the variables. The findings indicate that there is no long-run relationship between economic growth and oil prices in Türkiye. As a result, it is concluded that the series does not return to equilibrium in the long run and oil price shocks during the financial turmoil may affect economic growth.
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