2016 - 2021 年南非市政财务管理模式

Daniel Govender, Brad Bell
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摘要

本文首先对种族隔离后南非现代地方政府制度的建立阶段(1995 - 2006 年)和衰落阶段(2006 - 2016 年)进行了批判性审视。然后,本研究调查了 2018 年前后发生的社会、政治和法律变化是否足以影响第四届地方政府(2016-2021 年)在其五年任期内的财政管理和服务提供模式方面的表现。这样做是为了确定第四届政府是否延续、阻止或扭转了地方政府的衰落阶段。 本研究采用定量方法,汇总了南非审计长一系列报告中的二手数据,这些报告涉及两个指标,即第四届地方政府五年任期内约 300 个市政当局和市政实体的审计结果和未经授权、违规、无用和浪费性支出模式,以及年终预算赤字。 利用皮尔逊卡方统计法和克莱默 V 对这些数据进行的分析表明,在这五年中,这两项指标均无显著变化。注意到这既不是下降也不是改善,我们讨论了第四届地方政府作为一个缓慢转折点的作用,以及对新的第五届地方政府的建议。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Güney Afrika'nın 2016 – 2021 Arası Belediye Mali Yönetim Kalıpları
This paper begins by critically interrogating both the establishment phase (1995 – 2006) and the decline phase (2006 – 2016) of the post-apartheid system of modern local government in South Africa. This study then investigates whether a combination of social, political and legal changes that occurred around 2018 were sufficient to influence the performance of the Fourth Local Government Administration (2016 – 2021) in terms of its pattern of financial management and service delivery over its five-year term of office. This is done to determine if the Fourth Administration continued, arrested, or turned around the decline phase of local government. Following a quantitative approach, this study aggregates secondary data from a series of reports from the Auditor-General of South Africa relating to two indicators, namely audit outcomes and patterns of unauthorised, irregular, and fruitless and wasteful expenditure, as well as year-end budget deficits, for approximately 300 municipalities and municipal entities over the full five-year period of the Fourth Local Government Administration’s term of office. Analysis of this data using Pearson’s chi-squared statistic together with Cramer’s V, shows no significant changes in either indicator over these five years. Noting that this is neither a decline nor improvement, the role of the Fourth Local Government Administration as a slow turning point is discussed, together with recommendations for the new Fifth Local Government Administration.
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