2017-2021年期间在印度尼西亚证券交易所上市的金融服务公司中Altman Z-score分析法与Zmijewski X-score分析法的破产预测能力对比分析

Shinta Novitalia, Chairil Akhyar, Adnan, Jumaini
{"title":"2017-2021年期间在印度尼西亚证券交易所上市的金融服务公司中Altman Z-score分析法与Zmijewski X-score分析法的破产预测能力对比分析","authors":"Shinta Novitalia, Chairil Akhyar, Adnan, Jumaini","doi":"10.54443/jaruda.v2i2.101","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"This study aims to determine the comparative analysis of bankruptcy predictive ability between the Altman z-score and Zmijewski x-score analyses of financial services companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange for the 2017-2021 period. This study uses secondary data in the form of financial statements of each financial service company, where the sample used in this study is 41 financial service companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange. The data analysis method used is the Altman z-score and Zmijewski x-score models with the help of Microsoft Excel 2019 software. The results of the study reveal that (1) from the results of the Altman Z-Score, it is obtained that as many as 19 companies are predicted to experience bankruptcy within five years of the study period, while 6 financial services companies are predicted not to go bankrupt during the five years of the study period. (2) Zmijewski's analysis shows that 3 financial service companies are predicted to go bankrupt during the five-year study period, and 29 financial service companies are predicted not to go bankrupt during the five-year study period. (3) The results of calculating the level of accuracy found that the Altman Z-Score model is the best in predicting the bankruptcy of financial services companies with an accuracy rate of 68.78%, while the Zmijewski model only obtains an accuracy rate of 16.09%.","PeriodicalId":284428,"journal":{"name":"Journal of Accounting Research, Utility Finance and Digital Assets","volume":"206 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2023-10-30","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"ANALYSIS OF COMPARISON OF BANKRUPTCY PREDICTION ABILITY BETWEEN ALTMAN Z-SCORE ANALYSIS AND ZMIJEWSKI X-SCORE ANALYSIS IN FINANCIAL SERVICES COMPANIES LISTED ON THE INDONESIA STOCK EXCHANGE FOR THE 2017-2021 PERIOD\",\"authors\":\"Shinta Novitalia, Chairil Akhyar, Adnan, Jumaini\",\"doi\":\"10.54443/jaruda.v2i2.101\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"This study aims to determine the comparative analysis of bankruptcy predictive ability between the Altman z-score and Zmijewski x-score analyses of financial services companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange for the 2017-2021 period. This study uses secondary data in the form of financial statements of each financial service company, where the sample used in this study is 41 financial service companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange. The data analysis method used is the Altman z-score and Zmijewski x-score models with the help of Microsoft Excel 2019 software. The results of the study reveal that (1) from the results of the Altman Z-Score, it is obtained that as many as 19 companies are predicted to experience bankruptcy within five years of the study period, while 6 financial services companies are predicted not to go bankrupt during the five years of the study period. (2) Zmijewski's analysis shows that 3 financial service companies are predicted to go bankrupt during the five-year study period, and 29 financial service companies are predicted not to go bankrupt during the five-year study period. (3) The results of calculating the level of accuracy found that the Altman Z-Score model is the best in predicting the bankruptcy of financial services companies with an accuracy rate of 68.78%, while the Zmijewski model only obtains an accuracy rate of 16.09%.\",\"PeriodicalId\":284428,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Journal of Accounting Research, Utility Finance and Digital Assets\",\"volume\":\"206 1\",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2023-10-30\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Journal of Accounting Research, Utility Finance and Digital Assets\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.54443/jaruda.v2i2.101\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Journal of Accounting Research, Utility Finance and Digital Assets","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.54443/jaruda.v2i2.101","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究旨在确定对2017-2021年期间在印度尼西亚证券交易所上市的金融服务公司进行Altman z-score和Zmijewski x-score分析之间的破产预测能力比较分析。本研究使用的二级数据是各金融服务公司的财务报表,本研究使用的样本是在印尼证券交易所上市的 41 家金融服务公司。使用的数据分析方法是Altman z-score和Zmijewski x-score模型,并借助Microsoft Excel 2019软件。研究结果表明:(1)从Altman Z-Score的结果来看,多达19家公司被预测将在研究期的五年内遭遇破产,而6家金融服务公司被预测在研究期的五年内不会破产。(2) Zmijewski 的分析表明,预测有 3 家金融服务公司在五年研究期内破产,有 29 家金融服务公司在五年研究期内不会破产。(3)计算准确度的结果发现,Altman Z-Score 模型预测金融服务公司破产的准确度最高,为 68.78%,而 Zmijewski 模型的准确度仅为 16.09%。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
ANALYSIS OF COMPARISON OF BANKRUPTCY PREDICTION ABILITY BETWEEN ALTMAN Z-SCORE ANALYSIS AND ZMIJEWSKI X-SCORE ANALYSIS IN FINANCIAL SERVICES COMPANIES LISTED ON THE INDONESIA STOCK EXCHANGE FOR THE 2017-2021 PERIOD
This study aims to determine the comparative analysis of bankruptcy predictive ability between the Altman z-score and Zmijewski x-score analyses of financial services companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange for the 2017-2021 period. This study uses secondary data in the form of financial statements of each financial service company, where the sample used in this study is 41 financial service companies listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange. The data analysis method used is the Altman z-score and Zmijewski x-score models with the help of Microsoft Excel 2019 software. The results of the study reveal that (1) from the results of the Altman Z-Score, it is obtained that as many as 19 companies are predicted to experience bankruptcy within five years of the study period, while 6 financial services companies are predicted not to go bankrupt during the five years of the study period. (2) Zmijewski's analysis shows that 3 financial service companies are predicted to go bankrupt during the five-year study period, and 29 financial service companies are predicted not to go bankrupt during the five-year study period. (3) The results of calculating the level of accuracy found that the Altman Z-Score model is the best in predicting the bankruptcy of financial services companies with an accuracy rate of 68.78%, while the Zmijewski model only obtains an accuracy rate of 16.09%.
求助全文
通过发布文献求助,成功后即可免费获取论文全文。 去求助
来源期刊
自引率
0.00%
发文量
0
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
确定
请完成安全验证×
copy
已复制链接
快去分享给好友吧!
我知道了
右上角分享
点击右上角分享
0
联系我们:info@booksci.cn Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。 Copyright © 2023 布克学术 All rights reserved.
京ICP备2023020795号-1
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:604180095
Book学术官方微信