海湾合作委员会国家石油价格波动、股市、汇率和利率之间的动态关系:面板向量自回归 (PVAR) 模型

Mouna Aloui, J. Anis
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引用次数: 0

摘要

:目的:本文探讨了海湾合作委员会国家的石油价格波动、汇率、利率和股票市场之间的关系。设计/方法/途径:我们使用了 2006 年 1 月至 2015 年 12 月的年度数据集。然后,我们通过一步广义矩法(GMM)系统估计法和面板向量自回归(PVAR)模型探讨了这种关系之间的反馈。研究结果我们发现,利率上升会导致石油价格上涨,这意味着这一结果是完全正常的,因为低利率会导致石油价格下降。实际意义:本研究具有重要意义,因为其结论可以为政策制定者、监管者和投资者提供参考。此外,这项研究还有助于石油进出口。事实上,应改革能源税收,鼓励家庭和企业保护自己免受未来油价上涨的影响,促进能源转型。原创性/价值:欧洲层面的统一行动将使能源税改革成为减少公共赤字的良性工具。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Dynamic Relation between the Oil Price Volatility, Stock Market, Exchange and Interest Rate in GCC Countries: Panel Vector Autoregressive (PVAR) Model
: Purpose: This article examines the relationship between oil price volatility, exchange rate, interest rate, and the stock market in the GCC countries. Design/Methodology/Approach: We used an annual data set from January 2006 to December 2015. Then, we explore the feedback between this relation by one-step generalized method of moments (GMM) system estimator and panel vector autoregressive (PVAR) model. Findings: We find that the increased of the interest rates leads to increased oil price, which implies that this result is completely normal since the low-interest rates, decrease in oil prices. Practical Implications: The study provides a significant contribution as its findings can give policymakers, regulators and investor. Moreover, this study can help import and export oil. In fact, should be reformed energy taxation to encourage households and businesses to protect themselves against future oil price increases and facilitate the transition of energy. Originality/Value: A harmonized action at the European level would make the reform of energy taxation a virtuous tool to reduce public deficits.
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来源期刊
International Journal of Economics and Business Administration
International Journal of Economics and Business Administration Economics, Econometrics and Finance-Economics, Econometrics and Finance (all)
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