综合能源系统多重负荷预测方法综述

Yujiao Liu, Yan Li, Guoliang Li, Yuqing Lin, Ruiqi Wang, Yunpeng Fan
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引用次数: 0

摘要

为了进一步提高能源利用效率,综合能源系统(IES)将各种能源系统紧密连接在一起,成为能源转型过程中一种重要的能源利用方式。由于复杂多变的多负荷是新电力系统的重要组成部分,负荷预测对新电力系统的规划、运行、控制和调度具有重要意义。为了及时跟踪负荷预测方法的最新研究进展,把握当前负荷预测的研究热点和方向,本文对预测方法的相关研究内容进行了综述。首先,简要介绍了综合能源系统和负荷预测。其次,从基于统计分析的传统预测方法和基于机器学习的智能预测方法两个方向展开讨论,分析不同方法的优缺点和适用性。然后,对综合能源系统过去 5 年的多次负荷预测结果进行了整理和分析。最后,对综合能源系统的负荷预测进行了总结和展望。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Review of multiple load forecasting method for integrated energy system
In order to further improve the efficiency of energy utilization, Integrated Energy Systems (IES) connect various energy systems closer, which has become an important energy utilization mode in the process of energy transition. Because the complex and variable multiple load is an important part of the new power system, the load forecasting is of great significance for the planning, operation, control, and dispatching of the new power system. In order to timely track the latest research progress of the load forecasting method and grasp the current research hotspot and the direction of load forecasting, this paper reviews the relevant research content of the forecasting methods. Firstly, a brief overview of Integrated Energy Systems and load forecasting is provided. Secondly, traditional forecasting methods based on statistical analysis and intelligent forecasting methods based on machine learning are discussed in two directions to analyze the advantages, disadvantages, and applicability of different methods. Then, the results of Integrated Energy Systemss multiple load forecasting for the past 5 years are compiled and analyzed. Finally, the Integrated Energy Systems load forecasting is summarized and looked forward.
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