通货膨胀下的尼日利亚生活水平

Tevin-Anyali, Chizoba Linda, Obi, Chinasa Ifeoma, Oladipo, Abimbola Oluwaseun
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引用次数: 0

摘要

尼日利亚的通货膨胀一直是导致人民生活水平下降的主要问题,因为它削弱了人民的购买力。因此,已经开展了一些研究,但结果各不相同。此外,从理论和实践上讲,尼日利亚的经济和社会都不稳定,这是因为尼日利亚的消费大于生产,其少量生产所需的大部分原材料都需要进口。然而,这使得生活成本居高不下。因此,本研究通过收集 1999 年至 2022 年的数据,探讨了通货膨胀率对尼日利亚人民生活水平的影响。为估算模型参数,采用了自回归分布滞后模型。从长期结果来看,制造业产能利用率(MCU)和汇率(EXCR)对生活水平有负面影响,而消费价格指数(CPI)和失业率(UNEM)则有正面影响。短期影响表明,消费物价指数、消费物价指数单位和失业率对生活水平有积极影响,而汇率对生活水平有消极影响。由于这些发现,本研究建议政府应采取措施降低通货膨胀率,尽管通货膨胀率对本研究有积极影响。这可以通过鼓励制造业投资来实现。这同样会提高制造业的产能利用率,降低失业率,从而提高人民的生活水平。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Nigeria’s Standard of Living in the Face of Inflation
Inflation in Nigeria has been the major problem causing a lower standard of living for people as it erodes the purchasing power of people. As such, studies have been conducted but with different findings. Furthermore, theoretically and practically, Nigeria experiences economic and social instability owing to the fact that it consumes more than it produces, and imports most of the raw materials for the little production it makes. This has however made the cost of living high. Hence, this study examines the impact of the inflation rate on the standard of living of people in Nigeria, collecting data that span from 1999 to 2022. To estimate the parameters of the model, the Autoregressive Distributed Lag Model was employed. From the long-run result, Manufacturing Capacity Utilization (MCU) and exchange rate (EXCR) have a negative impact on the standard of living, while the Consumer Price Index (CPI) and unemployment rate (UNEM) have a positive impact. The short-run impact shows that CPI, MCU and UNEM have a positive impact, while EXCR has a negative impact. As a result of these findings, the study recommends that the government should put measures in place to reduce the rate of inflation, even though it has a positive impact on this study. This can be done by encouraging investments in the manufacturing sector. This will equally increase the manufacturing capacity utilization, and reduce the unemployment rate, thus, increasing the standard of living of people.
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