可持续股票指数与传统股票指数之间的回报和非对称波动相互依存关系:发达国家和新兴国家的证据

Neha Seth, Deepti Singh
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究探讨了新兴国家和发达国家的可持续股票指数与传统股票指数之间的协整关系和非对称波动性相互依存关系。使用的是 2015 年 1 月 1 日至 2022 年 7 月 15 日的每日收盘值。研究分别采用 ARDL 和 VAR-Granger 因果模型来检验长期关联和因果关系。此外,研究还采用了双变量 EGARCH 模型来分析两个指数之间的收益和非对称波动溢出。分析结果显示,没有证据表明可持续指数与传统指数之间存在协整关系。然而,除英国和阿拉伯联合酋长国外,所有国家都存在双向因果关系。收益溢出结果表明,日本和巴西的传统指数收益受其可持续指数变化的负面影响。EGARCH 结果显示所有市场都存在双向波动溢出。来自美利坚合众国(美国)和中国可持续指数的波动冲击对这两个国家的常规指数产生了非对称影响。此外,在巴西和英国的可持续指数和传统指数之间也观察到了正的非对称溢出效应。有关联系和非对称波动溢出的知识将有助于投资者在金融和经济逆境中进行投资组合管理和制定对冲策略。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Returns and Asymmetric Volatility Interdependencies between Sustainable and Conventional Stock Indices: Evidence from Developed and Emerging Countries
The study investigates the co-integration and asymmetric volatility interdependence between the sustainable and conventional stock indices of emerging and developed countries. Daily closing values are used from 1st January 2015 to 15th July 2022. The study employs ARDL and VAR-Granger causality model to examine long-run association and cause-effect relation, respectively. Moreover, the Bivariate EGARCH model is also used to analyse return and asymmetric volatility spillover between two indices. The analysis reveals no evidence of co-integration between sustainable and conventional indices. However, bidirectional causality exists in all countries except the United Kingdom (UK) and United Arab Emirates (UAE). The return spillover result exhibits that return of the conventional index of Japan and Brazil are negatively affected by changes in its sustainable index. The EGARCH results reveal the bidirectional volatility spillover in all the markets. The volatility shocks from the sustainable index of the United States of America (USA) and China have an asymmetric effect on the conventional indices of these countries. Further, positive asymmetric spillover was observed between the sustainable and conventional indices of Brazil and UK. The knowledge of linkage and asymmetric volatility spillover will assist the investors in portfolio management and formulating hedging strategies during financial and economic adversities.
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