评估南极冰架的四种沉积规律

J. Wilner, M. Morlighem, Gong Cheng
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摘要

摘要南极洲的许多浮冰架支撑着为其提供水源的冰流,从而减少了冰山向海洋的排泄。冰架挤压冰山的速度以及冰山流动的速度决定了冰架是前进、后退还是保持稳定,从而对冰的排出量产生一阶控制。为了在冰盖模型中确定冰山融化的参数,过去几十年中提出了一些经验和物理的冰山融化 "规律"。这些 "定律 "强调不同的特征,包括沿流和跨流应变率(eigencalving 定律)、断裂屈服标准(von Mises 定律)、纵向拉伸(裂缝深度定律)和简单的冰厚度临界值(最小厚度定律)等。尽管有众多已确立的冰盖形成规律,但这些规律在南极冰盖上基本上仍未得到验证,因此很难评估任何特定规律在南极洲的广泛适用性。我们通过一组数值实验,评估了南极冰盖周围 10 个冰架的现有冰盖形成规律,从而弥补了这一不足。我们利用冰盖和海平面系统模型(ISSM),在恒定的外部作用力下实施了四种冰盖形成规律,通过假设冰锋的当前位置处于稳定状态,并在 200 年的模拟过程中找到最能达到这一位置的参数集,为每个冰架校准了每种冰盖形成规律的自由参数。我们发现,一般来说,在稳态位置假设下,eigencalving 和 von Mises 定律最能再现观测到的冰盖前沿位置。这些结果将简化未来的南极冰架建模工作,更好地为每个冰架提供南极式冰盖形成的相关物理信息。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Evaluation of four calving laws for Antarctic ice shelves
Abstract. Many floating ice shelves in Antarctica buttress the ice streams feeding them, thereby reducing the discharge of icebergs into the ocean. The rate at which ice shelves calve icebergs and how fast they flow determine whether they advance, retreat, or remain stable, exerting a first-order control on ice discharge. To parameterize calving within ice sheet models, several empirical and physical calving “laws” have been proposed in the past few decades. Such laws emphasize dissimilar features, including along- and across-flow strain rates (the eigencalving law), a fracture yield criterion (the von Mises law), longitudinal stretching (the crevasse depth law), and a simple ice thickness threshold (the minimum thickness law), among others. Despite the multitude of established calving laws, these laws remain largely unvalidated for the Antarctic Ice Sheet, rendering it difficult to assess the broad applicability of any given law in Antarctica. We address this shortcoming through a set of numerical experiments that evaluate existing calving laws for 10 ice shelves around the Antarctic Ice Sheet. We utilize the Ice-sheet and Sea-level System Model (ISSM) and implement four calving laws under constant external forcing, calibrating the free parameter of each of these calving laws for each ice shelf by assuming that the current position of the ice front is in steady state and finding the set of parameters that best achieves this position over a simulation of 200 years. We find that, in general, the eigencalving and von Mises laws best reproduce observed calving front positions under the steady-state position assumption. These results will streamline future modeling efforts of Antarctic ice shelves by better informing the relevant physics of Antarctic-style calving on a shelf-by-shelf basis.
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