强制性月度销售披露和盈利信息内容

Hsueh-Tien Lu, Hua Christine Xin
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摘要

简介 研究问题 台湾股票市场采用一种独特的报告频率形式,将季度中期财务报告与强制性月度销售公告相结合。在这种独特的背景下,我们可以比较在月度销售信息披露之前、与之捆绑在一起或之后公布的季度收益的信息含量。动机 每月销售信息披露可能会为投资者提供有价值的信息,帮助他们在预测盈利和现金流时修正预期,从而有助于盈利公告(EA)的定价。我们将研究月度销售披露是否有助于投资者处理盈利信息。检验假设 我们的第一个假设是,如果在报告下一季度第一个月的月度销售额之后披露上一季度的 EA,则市场对盈利消息的即时反应会更低。我们的第二个假设是,如果在下一季度第一个月的月度销售额报告之后披露上一季度的企业经营活动,则市场对财报新闻的后续反应会更低。目标人群 我们研究了 2014 年至 2018 年的台湾上市公司样本。采用的方法 我们使用多元回归来检验假设。分析 我们研究了季度第一个月的月度销售信息披露[公式:见正文],这些信息在季度第二个月的前 10 天内发布[公式:见正文]。我们分析了 q 季度收益内容的定价,条件是收益在月度销售披露之前、同时或之后发布。结果 我们发现,相对于在月度销售新闻之前或与月度销售新闻捆绑在一起披露的盈利,在月度销售新闻之后披露的盈利与较弱的 EA 回报和 EA 后漂移相关。这些结果表明,月度销售披露抢占了后期 EA 的信息内容。更重要的是,我们发现,与提前披露和捆绑披露的 EA 相比,晚披露的 EA 回报与 EA 后回报之间的正相关性较低。总体而言,这些结果表明,通过提供及时的销售信息,每月销售披露改善了信息环境。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Mandatory Monthly Sales Disclosure and the Information Content of Earnings
Synopsis The research problem Taiwanese stock markets practice a unique form of reporting frequency, combining quarterly interim financial reports with mandatory monthly sales announcements. This unique setting allows us to compare the information content of quarterly earnings that are announced before, bundled with, or announced after the monthly sales disclosures. Motivation Monthly sales disclosures likely contribute to the pricing of earnings announcements (EAs) by providing investors with valuable information that helps them revise their expectations when forecasting earnings and cash flows. We examine whether monthly sales disclosures help investors to process earnings information. The test hypotheses Our first hypothesis is that the immediate market response to earnings news is lower if the previous quarter’s EAs are disclosed after the reporting of monthly sales for the first month of the next quarter. Our second hypothesis is that the subsequent market response to earnings news is lower if the previous quarter’s EAs are disclosed after the reporting of monthly sales for the first month of the next quarter. Target population We studied a sample of Taiwanese listed firms from 2014 through 2018. Adopted methodology We used multivariate regressions to test the hypotheses. Analyses We examined the monthly sales disclosures for the first month of quarter [Formula: see text], which are released within the first 10 days of the second month of quarter [Formula: see text]. We analyze the pricing of the content of the earnings of quarter q, conditional on whether the earnings are released before, simultaneously with, or released after the monthly sales disclosures. Findings We found that earnings disclosed after the monthly sales news are associated with weaker EA returns and post-EA drift, relative to earnings disclosed before or bundled with the monthly sales news. These results suggest that monthly sales disclosures preempt the information content of late EAs. More importantly, we found that late EAs are associated with less positive correlation between EA returns and post-EA returns than early and bundled EAs. Overall, these results suggest that by providing timely sales information, monthly sales disclosures improve the information environment.
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