2001-2016 年尼加拉瓜极端降雨指数的时空变化及其与远距离联系模式的关系

IF 2.6 3区 地球科学 Q3 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES
Ruth Mendez-Rivas, Maycol Mena Palacios, Reiner Palomino Lemus
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引用次数: 0

摘要

我们从 GPCC、CHIRPS 和 IMERG 中研究了 2001-2016 年期间尼加拉瓜上空极端降水事件的 9 个时空指数及其与远程连接模式的相关性。主要目的是评估极端降水事件的可变性,以 GPCC 和 4 个雨量计为参考,了解 IMERG 和 CHIRPS 在描述这些极端事件方面的性能,最后确定与这些指数相关性最高的远程连接模式。日降水量小于 1 毫米的连续天数最多的地区的空间覆盖范围与太平洋地区相对应,其年平均值高达连续 120 天。一些极端降水事件指数(RR、RX1 天和 RX5 天)呈下降趋势,表明在整个研究期间,研究区域的极端降水指数在强度和持续时间方面都有所减少。此外,我们还观察到,CHIRPS 在处理未超过特定阈值的降水事件时显示出更好的拟合效果,而 IMERG 在描述强降水事件模式时则有所改善。我们发现,EOFPAC、NIÑA 3.4、PACWARM 和 SOI 对极端降水事件的影响更大,这些结果表明极端降水事件受到厄尔尼诺/南方涛动事件的控制,从而更好地了解了气候配置,为农业、土地利用和风险管理提供了预测和预报潜力。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Spatiotemporal variability of extreme rainfall indices over Nicaragua between 2001-2016 and their relationship with teleconnection patterns
We investigated 9 indices of Spatio-temporal extreme precipitation events over Nicaragua during 2001-2016, from GPCC, CHIRPS, and IMERG, and their correlation with teleconnection patterns. The main objectives were to evaluate the variability of extreme precipitation events, to know the performance of IMERG and CHIRPS in the characterization of these extreme events, using GPCC and 4 rain gauges as references, and finally to determine the teleconnection patterns that have the highest correlation with these indices. The spatial coverage of the area with the highest number of consecutive days with daily precipitation less than 1 mm corresponds to the Pacific region, with annual mean values of up to 120 continuous days. Some extreme precipitation event indices (RR, RX1day, and RX5day) show a decreasing trend, suggesting that the study area has been experiencing a reduction of extreme precipitation indices in terms of intensities and duration throughout the study period. In addition, it was observed that CHIRPS shows a better fit when dealing with precipitation events that do not exceed certain thresholds and IMERG improves when describing intense precipitation event patterns. We found that EOFPAC, NIÑA 3.4, PACWARM, and SOI have a greater influence on extreme precipitation events, these results suggest that they are being controlled by ENSO episodes, providing a better understanding of the climate configuration, as a prediction and forecasting potential, useful for agriculture, land use and risk management.
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来源期刊
Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology
Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology 地学-气象与大气科学
CiteScore
5.10
自引率
6.70%
发文量
97
审稿时长
3 months
期刊介绍: The Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology (JAMC) (ISSN: 1558-8424; eISSN: 1558-8432) publishes applied research on meteorology and climatology. Examples of meteorological research include topics such as weather modification, satellite meteorology, radar meteorology, boundary layer processes, physical meteorology, air pollution meteorology (including dispersion and chemical processes), agricultural and forest meteorology, mountain meteorology, and applied meteorological numerical models. Examples of climatological research include the use of climate information in impact assessments, dynamical and statistical downscaling, seasonal climate forecast applications and verification, climate risk and vulnerability, development of climate monitoring tools, and urban and local climates.
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