用于 Scada 系统风力功率估算的多层 LSTM 模型

S. B. Çelebi, Ömer Ali Karaman
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引用次数: 0

摘要

风能是不污染环境的清洁能源。然而,由于风力涡轮机的运行环境复杂多变,通常很难预测其产生的瞬时有功功率。本研究利用时间序列分析法,提出了一种基于短期记忆网络(LSTM)的风力涡轮机有功功率估算系统。从风力涡轮机 SCADA 系统获取的数据被用作输入变量。在所提出的方法中,设计了一种多层 LSTM 架构来训练模型。第一个 LSTM 网络由 64 个单元组成,第二个由 32 个单元组成。随后是由 16 个神经元组成的密集层。在最后一层,通过使用线性激活函数来完成预测过程,从而最终完成架构。所提出的基于深度学习(DL)的 LSTM 预测模型考虑了风速和风向等环境因素,用于有功功率预测。结果表明,基于 LSTM 的时间序列分析方法能够有效捕捉数据中的时间序列特征。因此,所提出的架构可以实现高精度的有功功率预测。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Multilayer LSTM Model for Wind Power Estimation in the Scada System
Wind energy is clean energy that does not pollute the environment. However, the complex and variable operating environment of a wind turbine often makes it difficult to predict the instantaneous active power generated. In this study, a wind turbine active power estimation system based on a short-term memory network (LSTM) using time series analysis is proposed. The data obtained from the wind turbine SCADA system is used as input variables. In the proposed method, a multilayer LSTM architecture is designed to train the model. The first LSTM network consists of 64 units, and the second one consists of 32 units. This is followed by a dense layer consisting of 16 neurons. In the last layer, the architecture is finalized by using a linear activation function for the prediction process. The proposed deep learning (DL)-based LSTM prediction model takes into account environmental factors such as wind speed and wind direction for active power forecasting. The results show that the LSTM-based time series analysis method is capable of effectively capturing time series features among the data. Thus, the proposed architecture can realize high-accuracy active power forecasting.
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