南方选民的党派归属

IF 1.5 2区社会学 Q2 POLITICAL SCIENCE

Political Research Quarterly Pub Date : 2023-11-26 DOI:10.1177/10659129231218734

Seth C. McKee

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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文记录并分析了 20 世纪 90 年代至今美国南方政党归属的变化情况。文章利用三个调查来源的数据对党派认同（PID）进行了研究：美国全国选举研究（ANES）、合作选举研究（CES）和退出民调（全国和州一级）。重点放在整个南方和各州白人、黑人和西班牙裔选民不断变化的 PID 模式上。研究结果强烈表明，目前共和党在选举中占主导地位的局面将在未来一段时间内持续下去，尽管在南方的某些地区，民主党的支持率可能会上升，但这是有多种原因的。

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Party Affiliation in the Southern Electorate

This article chronicles and analyzes the changing state of party affiliation in the American South from the 1990s to the present. Party identification (PID) is examined with data from three survey sources: the American National Election Study (ANES), Cooperative Election Study (CES), and Exit Polls (national and state-level). Emphasis is placed on the changing PID patterns of white, Black, and Hispanic voters South-wide and in individual states. The findings strongly suggest that the current position of Republican electoral dominance will persist for some time to come, though there are multiple reasons why, in certain parts of the South, Democratic affiliation will likely increase.

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来源期刊

Political Research Quarterly POLITICAL SCIENCE-

CiteScore

3.60

自引率

4.80%

发文量

109

期刊介绍： Political Research Quarterly (PRQ) is the official journal of the Western Political Science Association. PRQ seeks to publish scholarly research of exceptionally high merit that makes notable contributions in any subfield of political science. The editors especially encourage submissions that employ a mixture of theoretical approaches or multiple methodologies to address major political problems or puzzles at a local, national, or global level. Collections of articles on a common theme or debate, to be published as short symposia, are welcome as well as individual submissions.