基于 Bi-LSTM 模型的投资者情绪挖掘及其对股价泡沫的影响

Haiyuan Yin, Qingsong Yang
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摘要

摘要 我们建立了一个双向长短期记忆(Bi-LSTM)模型来识别和分类《东方财富》网站上的股票中文贴文,并构建了中国投资者情绪日指数。此外,基于 GSADF 方法,我们考察了股价泡沫,并研究了投资者情绪和股价泡沫的影响。我们发现,投资者情绪对股票泡沫的存在及其强度有正向影响。这种影响在规模小、股权集中度高和非国有企业中更为显著。投资者情绪通过波动性对股价泡沫产生影响,而股价泡沫往往伴随着更高的溢价风险。该结论有助于从微观角度理解投资者情绪对股票泡沫的影响机制,也可作为从投资者情绪角度识别股票泡沫的参考。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Investor Sentiment Mining Based on Bi-LSTM Model and its Impact on Stock Price Bubbles
Abstract We built a Bi-Directional long-term and short-term memory (Bi-LSTM) model to identify and classify the Chinese posting text of stocks on the Eastmoney website in China and constructed the daily index of Chinese investors’ sentiment. Furthermore, based on the GSADF method, we examine the stock price bubbles and study the impact of investor sentiment and stock price bubbles. We found investor sentiment has a positive effect on the existence of stock bubbles, as well as their intensity. This effect is more significant in small-scale, high-equity concentration, and non-state-owned enterprises. Investor sentiment has an impact on stock price bubbles through volatility, and stock price bubbles are often accompanied by higher premium risk. The conclusion is helpful to understand the mechanism of investor sentiment on stock bubbles from a micro perspective, and it also can be a reference in identifying stock bubbles from the viewpoint of investor sentiment.
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