分析 1979-2020 年的经验降雨量数据,为尼日利亚翁多州的农业和水资源管理提供指导

E. Audu, S. D. Francis, A. S. Abubakar, M. A. Emigilati, H. Audu
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文旨在通过使用各种标准方法从阿布贾的尼日利亚气象局收集数据,评估 1979-2020 年期间的每日降雨量经验数据,为尼日利亚翁多州的农业和水资源管理提供指导。结果表明,该地区全年降雨量为 3 月(86.4 毫米),11 月(56.4 毫米),7 月(254.2 毫米)和 9 月(282.1 毫米)降雨量最大,气候学平均值为 1752.2 毫米。此外,降雨量差异百分比(%)显示出现了七(7)次正差异和四(4)次负差异。最高的正百分比差异出现在 9 月(10.4),最低的出现在 7 月(2.6)。最大负偏差为-26.5%(11 月),最小为-5.9%(8 月)。各站月平均降雨量与区域平均降雨量的偏差显示,伊拉杰地方行政区的伊格博科达在所有月份都出现负偏差,而奥基蒂普帕地方行政区的奥基蒂普帕和阿科科西南地方行政区的奥卡-阿科科则各有十一(11)个月出现正偏差。研究得出的结论是,研究地区的降雨量各不相同,而且普遍下降。因此,建议尽早缩小尼日利亚气象局(NiMet)的季节气候预测(SCP),以便为农民和水文学家提供指导;鼓励灌溉;种植杂交作物并修建更多水库。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Analysis of Empirical Rainfall Data Covering 1979-2020 as a Guide to Agriculture and Water Resources Management in Ondo State, Nigeria
The aim of this paper was to evaluate daily empirical rainfall data covering 1979-2020 as a guide to agriculture and water resources management in Ondo, State, Nigeria by collecting data from the Nigerian Meteorological Agency, Abuja, using various standard methods. Results showed that, the area observed rainfall throughout the year with March (86.4 mm) as the rainfall onset, November (56.4 mm) was the cessation, double maximum rainfall occurred in July (254.2 mm) and September (282.1 mm) with the climatological mean of 1752.2 mm. Also, the percentage (%) difference rainfall showed seven (7) positive and four (4) negative occurrences. The highest positive % difference occurred in September (10.4), while the lowest occurred in July (2.6). The highest negative % difference was -26.5 (November), while the lowest was -5.9 (August). The stations deviation from zonal average monthly rainfall showed that, Igbokoda, Ilaje LGA deviated in all the months negatively, while Okitipupa, Okitipupa LGA and Oka-Akoko, Akoko South West LGA deviated positively in eleven (11) months each. The study concluded that, rainfall varied and had declined generally over the study area. Hence, it was recommended that, the Seasonal Climate Prediction (SCP) by Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet) should be down-scaled early to serve as a guide to farmers and hydrologists; irrigation should be encouraged; hybrid crops should be cultivated and more water reservoirs should be constructed.
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