利用最小平方法,根据潮汐数据确定海平面上升情况

Retno Anjarwati, M. M. Danial, Arfena Deah Lestari, J. Meirany, A. Supriyadi
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引用次数: 0

摘要

当水流因渠道容量不足而溢出河岸时,就会发生洪水。洪水通常是由于降水量过大,导致渠道无法承受水流,从而引发洪灾。坤甸市经常在下雨时面临严重和持久的洪灾。高降雨量和海平面上升都会对卡普阿斯河造成影响,可能导致洪水泛滥。该论据指出,本研究是利用坤甸气候学海洋站 2016 年至 2021 年的潮汐数据,预测未来六年海平面上升对坤甸市水流高度的影响。使用最小二乘法计算得出的平均海平面上升率为 1.579 厘米/年。以 0.017 厘米/年的上升率计算,卡普阿斯河未来六年的平均海平面上升预测值为 1.789 厘米。未来有必要减少洪水,以避免水流的影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
IDENTIFICATION OF SEA LEVEL RISE BASED ON TIDAL DATA USING THE LEAST SQUARE METHOD
Flood occurs when water overflows its banks due to inadequate channel capacity. Flooding typically results from too much precipitation, which prevents the channel from handling the water flow and results in a deluge. Pontianak City frequently faces severe and protracted flooding when it rains. Both high rainfall and rising sea levels, which impact the Kapuas River, might result in flooding. This argument states that this study was done to anticipate sea level rise for the next six years, which will impact Pontianak City's water flow height using tidal data from Pontianak's Climatology Maritime Station from 2016 to 2021. The average rate of sea level rise, calculated using the least squares approach, is 1.579 cm/year. With an increase rate of 0.017 cm/year, the average sea level rise forecast for the Kapuas River for the next six years is 1.789 cm. It will be necessary to reduce floods in the future to avoid the effects of water flow.
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