2016-2020 年地形对万隆市和西拉卡普地区降雨特征的影响

Fadhli Aslama Afghani, Imawan Mashuri, Ramadoni Khirtin, Muhammad Adi Cahyo
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引用次数: 0

摘要

地形与降雨相互关联。因此,本研究旨在确定地形对西拉卡普和万隆地区降雨特征的影响。采用的研究方法是对月平均降雨量、季节降雨量和年降雨量进行描述性统计分析。此外,还使用 SPSS 应用程序进行了时间序列和回归测试。使用的数据是 2016-2020 年期间的日降雨量数据。描述性分析的结果表明,万隆的月降雨量变异性高于西拉卡普,万隆的月降雨量范围为 113.6-643.82 毫米/月,而西拉卡普的月降雨量范围为 92.1-355.56 毫米/月。全球气候动态,如明显的太阳运动、季风、ITCZ、厄尔尼诺/南方涛动、IOD,以及当地天气系统,如山谷风,也会影响万隆和西拉卡普的季节性和年度降雨量变化。降雨量时间序列检验得出的数值在方差方面不是静止的,但在平均值方面是静止的。简单线性回归测试表明,地形对降雨量的影响为 55.2%。简单线性回归的目的是理解和模拟两个变量之间的关系:自变量(地形)和因变量(降雨特征)。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Topography Effects on Rainfall Characteristics in Bandung City and Cilacap Regency for the 2016-2020 Period
Topography and rainfall correlate with each other. Therefore, this study aims to determine the effect of topography on rainfall characteristicss in the Cilacap and Bandung areas. The research method used is a descriptive statistical analysis of average monthly, seasonal, and annual rainfall. In addition, time series and regression tests were carried out using the SPSS application. The data used is the daily rainfall data period of 2016–2020. The results of the descriptive analysis show that the variability of monthly rainfall in Bandung is higher than in Cilacap, with a value range that is 113.6–643.82 mm/month for Bandung and 92.1-355.56 mm/month for Cilacap. Global climate dynamics for instance apparent sun motion, Monsoon, ITCZ, ENSO, and IOD, as well as local weather systems like valley winds, also affect seasonal and annual rainfall variability in Bandung and Cilacap. The rainfall time series test produces values that are not stationary concerning the variance but stationary concerning the average. A simple linear regression test shows the effect of a topography of 55.2% on rainfall. The purpose of simple linear regression is to understand and model the relationship between two variables: the independent variable (topography) and the dependent variable (rainfall characteristics).
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