{"title":"人类进化古生态学的下一个步骤","authors":"C. Marean","doi":"10.17159/sajs.2023/16081","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"and how did hominins position themselves relative to it? Modern human hunter–gatherers always place their campsites near water – it structures much of their movement. What animals were the primary predators of hominins and how did hominins avoid them? The theory of landscape of fear shows us how important this question is. Do the faunal data show us what edible plants were available, and how these changed over time? We have become very good at assigning fossils to taxonomic groups and dating them, but we have yet to really make headway into understanding what these past ecologies were like. Second, the book shows us that we have reached a glass ceiling with our current approach. Our current approach finds fossils, describes them, dates them, and then uses specific animals or groups to infer what the environment was around the site. If there is a sequence, then we might describe how that changes over time, juxtapose it against a long climate and environmental archive record, and look for correlations. We are still very much in an inductive phase of science, and most sciences eventually mature into more deductive forms where the data are used to test hypotheses. We now have the ability to begin to do this. Advances in our ability to create climate models, and environmental models from those, has exploded in the last 10 years and will become increasingly powerful. My recommendation, which we have argued for elsewhere 3 , is that we start to nudge ourselves in that direction. In such a procedure, we would create formal models of climate and environment across regions, and then use our fragmented sequences to test and refine those models, thus creating palaeoscape models. Within those palaeoscapes, we can use computer simulations such as agent-based modelling to experiment with interactions between fauna and their environment, which of course moves us truly in the direction of palaeoecology.","PeriodicalId":21928,"journal":{"name":"South African Journal of Science","volume":"34 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.5000,"publicationDate":"2023-11-29","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"The next steps in human evolutionary palaeoecology\",\"authors\":\"C. Marean\",\"doi\":\"10.17159/sajs.2023/16081\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"and how did hominins position themselves relative to it? Modern human hunter–gatherers always place their campsites near water – it structures much of their movement. What animals were the primary predators of hominins and how did hominins avoid them? The theory of landscape of fear shows us how important this question is. Do the faunal data show us what edible plants were available, and how these changed over time? We have become very good at assigning fossils to taxonomic groups and dating them, but we have yet to really make headway into understanding what these past ecologies were like. Second, the book shows us that we have reached a glass ceiling with our current approach. Our current approach finds fossils, describes them, dates them, and then uses specific animals or groups to infer what the environment was around the site. If there is a sequence, then we might describe how that changes over time, juxtapose it against a long climate and environmental archive record, and look for correlations. We are still very much in an inductive phase of science, and most sciences eventually mature into more deductive forms where the data are used to test hypotheses. We now have the ability to begin to do this. Advances in our ability to create climate models, and environmental models from those, has exploded in the last 10 years and will become increasingly powerful. My recommendation, which we have argued for elsewhere 3 , is that we start to nudge ourselves in that direction. In such a procedure, we would create formal models of climate and environment across regions, and then use our fragmented sequences to test and refine those models, thus creating palaeoscape models. Within those palaeoscapes, we can use computer simulations such as agent-based modelling to experiment with interactions between fauna and their environment, which of course moves us truly in the direction of palaeoecology.\",\"PeriodicalId\":21928,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"South African Journal of Science\",\"volume\":\"34 1\",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":1.5000,\"publicationDate\":\"2023-11-29\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"South African Journal of Science\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"103\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.17159/sajs.2023/16081\",\"RegionNum\":4,\"RegionCategory\":\"综合性期刊\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q2\",\"JCRName\":\"MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"South African Journal of Science","FirstCategoryId":"103","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.17159/sajs.2023/16081","RegionNum":4,"RegionCategory":"综合性期刊","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"MULTIDISCIPLINARY SCIENCES","Score":null,"Total":0}
The next steps in human evolutionary palaeoecology
and how did hominins position themselves relative to it? Modern human hunter–gatherers always place their campsites near water – it structures much of their movement. What animals were the primary predators of hominins and how did hominins avoid them? The theory of landscape of fear shows us how important this question is. Do the faunal data show us what edible plants were available, and how these changed over time? We have become very good at assigning fossils to taxonomic groups and dating them, but we have yet to really make headway into understanding what these past ecologies were like. Second, the book shows us that we have reached a glass ceiling with our current approach. Our current approach finds fossils, describes them, dates them, and then uses specific animals or groups to infer what the environment was around the site. If there is a sequence, then we might describe how that changes over time, juxtapose it against a long climate and environmental archive record, and look for correlations. We are still very much in an inductive phase of science, and most sciences eventually mature into more deductive forms where the data are used to test hypotheses. We now have the ability to begin to do this. Advances in our ability to create climate models, and environmental models from those, has exploded in the last 10 years and will become increasingly powerful. My recommendation, which we have argued for elsewhere 3 , is that we start to nudge ourselves in that direction. In such a procedure, we would create formal models of climate and environment across regions, and then use our fragmented sequences to test and refine those models, thus creating palaeoscape models. Within those palaeoscapes, we can use computer simulations such as agent-based modelling to experiment with interactions between fauna and their environment, which of course moves us truly in the direction of palaeoecology.
期刊介绍:
The South African Journal of Science is a multidisciplinary journal published bimonthly by the Academy of Science of South Africa. Our mandate is to publish original research with an interdisciplinary or regional focus, which will interest readers from more than one discipline, and to provide a forum for discussion of news and developments in research and higher education. Authors are requested to write their papers and reports in a manner and style that is intelligible to specialists and non-specialists alike. Research contributions, which are peer reviewed, are of three kinds: Review Articles, Research Articles and Research Letters.