破产预测模型:LQ 45 股票指数上市公司的 Altman(Z-Score)、Springate(S-Score)、Zmijewski(X-Score)和 Grove(G-Score)模型

Ros Bunga Bondar, M. K. Mudzakar
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究旨在评估四种著名的破产预测模型,即 Altman's Z-Score、Springate's S-Score、Zmijewski's X-Score 和 Grove's G-Score 在预测 LQ 45 股票指数上市公司的财务困境方面的有效性。研究利用特定时期的财务数据来构建和评估这些模型的预测能力。通过采用 LQ 45 指数范围内的公司样本,本研究对这些模型在识别面临破产风险的公司方面的准确性、灵敏度和特异性进行了全面的比较分析。此外,本研究还探讨了结合多种模型的预测能力可能带来的改进或协同效应。本研究的结果有助于丰富公司财务方面的知识,并为利益相关者、投资者和政策制定者在印尼股票市场的背景下进行风险评估和财务决策提供了有价值的见解。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Bankruptcy Prediction Model: Altman (Z-Score), Springate (S-Score), Zmijewski (X-Score) And Grove (G-Score) Models in Companies Listed at The LQ 45 Stock Index
This study aims to assess the effectiveness of four prominent bankruptcy prediction models, namely Altman's Z-Score, Springate's S-Score, Zmijewski's X-Score, and Grove's G-Score, in forecasting financial distress among companies listed on the LQ 45 Stock Index. The research leverages financial data spanning a specified period to construct and evaluate the predictive capabilities of these models. By employing a sample of companies operating within the LQ 45 index, the study provides a comprehensive comparative analysis of the models' accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity in identifying firms at risk of bankruptcy. Additionally, this research investigates potential improvements or synergies that may arise from combining the predictive power of multiple models. The findings of this study contribute to the body of knowledge in corporate finance and offer valuable insights for stakeholders, investors, and policymakers involved in risk assessment and financial decision-making within the context of the Indonesian stock market.
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