公共部门风险分析和评估的方法论基础

D. V. Gorokhova
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引用次数: 0

摘要

文章提出了作者对公共部门风险评估方法发展的看法。在对普遍接受的风险评估方法进行分析的基础上,给出了这些方法的比较特点,并提出了根据不确定性因素组选择风险评估方法的方法。由于统计和数学风险评估工具的不足,重点放在了计算和分析系数系统上,其中根据公共部门组织的类型,提出了风险评估指标系统的方法。特别关注了确定可接受风险水平的问题,并提出了计算方法。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Methodological foundations of risk analysis and assessment in the public sector
The article offers the author's view on the development of risk assessment methodology in the public sector. Based on the analysis of generally accepted risk assessment methods, their comparative characteristics are given and an approach to the choice of risk assessment methods depending on groups of uncertainty factors is proposed. Due to the insufficiency of statistical and mathematical risk assessment tools, emphasis is placed on the system of calculation and analytical coefficients, in part of which an approach to the system of risk assessment indicators is proposed, depending on the type of public sector organization. Special attention is paid to the issue of determining an acceptable level of risk and a methodology for calculating it is proposed.
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