世界经济转型中的危机研究基础:理论视角

Yevhen Namliiev, Grazyna Kacicka
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摘要

目的。本文探讨了在不断发展的全球经济背景下危机研究的理论基础。文章强调了重新评估传统经济理论的必要性,以涵盖现代金融体系、技术进步以及大流行病和气候变化等新出现的全球威胁的相互关联性。结果。讨论延伸到对最新学术成果的分析,并找出了为未来研究提供机会的差距。全球经济的相互联系不仅促进了国际贸易和文化交流,而且还增加了局部经济混乱升级为全球危机的可能性。从金融崩溃和地缘政治不稳定到大流行病和气候变化,现代经济危机代表着复杂的原因和后果交织在一起,远远超出了传统的经济理论和模型。传统经济理论往往无法预测和减轻这些危机的影响。本文试图从全球化、技术变革、环境和医疗挑战的视角来理解现代经济危机并将其系统化,同时提出一种理解和管理这些危机的新理论方法。这项研究的意义在于,它致力于弥合现有经济模式与动态全球经济格局现实之间的差距。本文旨在构建一个全面的理论框架,囊括现代经济危机的复杂性。通过整合不同的学术观点并解决现有模型的不足,该框架旨在提高我们对未来经济衰退的预测能力和政策应对能力。文章正文详细分析了影响全球经济的各种因素,如加密货币市场的崛起、后流行病时代向远程经济的转变以及地缘政治紧张局势对贸易和金融的影响。报告利用案例研究和经验数据,对比了现有经济指标的功效和这些因素带来的新挑战。在综合材料的基础上,可以对学者们提出的经济危机理论进行分类。这种分类不仅体现了观点的多样性,也符合当代经济形势下危机的复杂性。实践意义。文章最后指出,我们亟需具有适应性和前瞻性的经济理论。这些结论强化了这样一种观念,即要理解当前和未来的经济危机,就必须在理论研究方面采取更加全面和灵活的方法,以适应全球经济的不可预测性。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
CRISIS RESEARCH FOUNDATIONS IN THE TRANSFORMING WORLD ECONOMY: A THEORETICAL PERSPECTIVE
Objective. This article examines the theoretical foundations of crisis research within the context of an evolving global economy. It highlights the necessity of re-evaluating traditional economic theories to encompass the interconnected nature of modern financial systems, technological advancements, and emergent global threats such as pandemics and climate change. Results. The discussion extends to the analysis of the most recent scholarly contributions and identifies gaps that present opportunities for future research. The interconnectedness of the global economy has not only facilitated international trade and cultural exchange but has also increased the propensity for localized economic disruptions to escalate into global crises. From financial collapses and geopolitical instability to pandemics and climate change, modern economic crises represent a complex interweaving of causes and consequences that extend far beyond traditional economic theories and models. Traditional economic theories have often fallen short in predicting and mitigating the impacts of these crises. In this article, an attempt is made to comprehend and systematize modern economic crises through the lens of globalization, technological changes, environmental and healthcare challenges, while proposing a new theoretical approach for understanding and managing these crises. The relevance of this research lies in its pursuit to bridge the gap between existing economic models and the realities of a dynamic global economic landscape. The purpose of this article is to forge a comprehensive theoretical framework that encapsulates the complexities of modern economic crises. By integrating diverse scholarly views and addressing the inadequacies of existing models, this framework aims to improve our predictive capabilities and policy responses to future economic downturns. The body of the article comprises a detailed examination of various factors influencing the global economy, such as the rise of cryptocurrency markets, the shift towards remote economies in the post-pandemic era, and the impact of geopolitical tensions on trade and finance. It contrasts the efficacy of existing economic indicators with the emerging challenges posed by these factors, using case studies and empirical data. On the basis of the synthesized material, a classification of theories proposed by scholars regarding economic crises can be articulated. This classification not only captures the diversity of perspectives but also aligns with the complex nature of crises in the contemporary economic landscape. Practical significance. The article concludes by asserting the critical need for adaptable and forward-looking economic theories. The conclusions reinforce the notion that understanding the current and future economic crises requires a more holistic and flexible approach to theoretical research, one that can accommodate the unpredictable nature of the global economy.
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