股票、市场对经济的影响对经济增长的影响:欧洲发达国家的证据

Krenare Shahini Gollopeni, Argjira Bilalli, Shenaj Haxhimustafa, Atdhetar Gara
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引用次数: 0

摘要

摘要 本研究的目的是调查九个发达欧洲国家的股票市场发展对经济增长的影响。在许多国家,股票市场(SM)被认为是促进可持续经济增长和发展的关键因素之一。本研究通过分析九个欧洲发达国家(包括德国、英国、法国、意大利、西班牙、荷兰、瑞士、土耳其和波兰)从 2000 年到 2020 年 21 年间的数据,试图确定股票市场对经济增长的影响。由于缺乏数据,2021 年和 2022 年未包括在内,这主要是大流行病时期的结果。从世界银行数据库中提取的数据集通过应用不同的计量经济学模型得出结果,如 OLS、OLS Robust、固定模型和随机效应模型,结果表明随机效应模型更适合本研究。研究表明,宏观经济因素,如股票市场发展(SMD)和通货膨胀(INF),对各个时期和各个国家的经济增长有显著的积极影响,而私营部门的国内信贷(DC)则对经济增长有显著的消极影响。因此,对这一主题进行新的研究有助于更好地理解股市对经济增长的影响,新的结论可能会使欧洲发达国家受益匪浅。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Impact of Stock, Market. On Economic. Growth: Evidence from Developed European.Countries
Abstract The purpose of the study is to investigate the impact of stock market development on economic growth for nine developed European countries. In many countries, the stock market (SM), is considered. one of the crucial elements for promoting sustainable economic growth and development. By analysing data from nine developed European countries over 21 years, from 2000 to 2020, including Germany, the United Kingdom, France, Italy, Spain, the Netherlands, Switzerland, Turkey, and Poland, this study seeks to determine the effect of the stock. market. on economic growth. The years 2021 and 2022 are not included due to the lack of data, mainly as a result of the pandemic period. The dataset, extracted from the World Bank database, is used to generate results by applying different econometric models such as OLS, OLS Robust, Fixed, and the Random Effect, which turned out to be more suitable in this study. According to research, macroeconomic factors such as stock. market development (SMD), and inflation (INF), have a significant positive impact while, domestic credit to the private sector (DC), has a negative significant impact on economic growth, in respective periods and countries. Therefore, new research on this topic could help better understand the stock market’s impact on economic growth, and new conclusions might greatly benefit developed European countries.
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