大流行病对巴西企业的经济和财务影响

Arthur Yudy Otsuzi, F. Santos
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文旨在分析大流行病对巴西开业和倒闭企业数量的经济和金融影响。为开展这项研究,我们从经济部收集了 2010 年至 2020 年开业和倒闭企业的历史数据;国内税收局公布的 2019 年和 2020 年 NF-e 月销售额;巴西地理统计局关于大流行病对 2020 年 6 月至 8 月销售额影响的双周调查。此外,还对 2020 年关闭公司的月流量与月通胀指数之间的关系进行了分析。结果表明,在经济危机时期,"迫不得已 "开设的公司数量增加;第三季度 NF-e 销售额下降,下半年开始增长;大流行病对员工人数少且与建筑和商业有关的公司的负面影响更大。对 2020 年关闭公司的月流量与月通货膨胀率之间关系的分析结果较低(r = 0,4231)。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
IMPACTOS ECONÔMICO-FINANCEIROS DA PANDEMIA NOS NEGÓCIOS NO BRASIL
This article aims to analyze the economic and financial impacts of the pandemic on the number of opening and closing businesses in Brazil. For the development of this study, the data was collected from the Ministry of Economy on the history of companies that opened and closed from 2010 to 2020; monthly sales for 2019 and 2020 with NF-e published by the Internal Revenue Service; IBGE fortnightly survey on the effects of the pandemic on sales in June to August 2020. In addition, an analysis of the relationship between the monthly flow of companies closed in 2020 and the monthly inflation index was carried out. The results point to an increase in the opening of companies “out of necessity” in periods of economic crisis; decrease in NF-e sales in the third quarter, followed by growth from the second half of the year; the greater negative impact of the pandemic on companies with few employees and linked to Construction and Commerce. The analysis of the relationship between the monthly flow of the companies closed in 2020 and the monthly inflation rate was low (r = 0,4231).
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