电网平价时默认选项对电力公司选择的影响:混合方法研究

M. Burbach, Shannon Moncure, Stephanie Kennedy, Jacob M. Smith
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摘要

替代能源或绿色能源具有减少传统能源所排放的二氧化碳的潜力,尤其是在电网平价的情况下--替代能源的平准化电力成本低于或等于购买电网供应的电力。这项混合方法研究考察了默认值对年轻人在电网平价时选择电力公司的影响,这些年轻人可能是第一次选择电力公司,也可能是最近刚经历过选择电力公司。此外,我们还调查了参与者选择电力公司的理由。通过卡方检验发现,在灰色默认条件下,选择灰色电力公司的比例明显高于无默认条件或绿色默认条件,这证实了即使在电网平价的情况下,默认条件也会产生影响。无论默认情况如何,选择绿色能源的人都表示,他们这样做是因为替代能源价格相同,但更清洁。而那些无论默认情况如何都选择传统能源的人则表示怀疑绿色能源是否会保持与电网平价,并认为传统能源更可靠,同时感觉受到了绿色公用事业信息的操纵。这项研究的结果表明,继续将灰色能源作为默认能源,而将绿色能源作为替代能源,可能会对预测的电网平价时发电量从灰色能源向绿色能源的大规模转变产生不利影响。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
The Effect of Default Options on Choice of Electricity Utility at Grid Parity: A Mixed Methods Study
Alternative energy, or green energy, has the potential to mitigate carbon dioxide emitted from conventional power sources, particularly at grid parity – the point at which alternative energy reaches a levelized electricity cost that is less than or equal to purchasing grid-supplied electricity. This mixed methods study examined the effect of defaults on electricity utility selection at grid parity by young people who may be choosing a utility for the first time or may have recently experienced choosing a utility. Additionally, we investigate the justification of participants’ choice of electricity utility. A chi-squared test determined that the gray electricity utility was chosen significantly more often in the gray default condition than in either the no default or green default conditions confirming the influence of defaults even at grid parity. Those who selected green energy regardless of the default scenario expressed that they did so because the alternative energy option was the same price, but cleaner. Those who chose the conventional energy source regardless of default conveyed doubt that green energy would remain at grid parity and held a belief that conventional energy is more reliable along with feeling manipulated by the green utility’s informational message. Results from this study indicate that continuing to offer gray energy as the default and green energy as the alternative could adversely impact the predicted large-scale shift in generation from gray energy sources to green energy sources when grid parity is prevalent.
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