Technology of scenario-based spatial analysis: planning regional economic development (on the example of Novosibirsk region)

The results of the study on the spatial organization of the Novosibirsk region, as well as modeling and choice of optimal trajectories of its economic development using the technology of scenario-based analysis of the territory are presented. Based on the laws of mutual influence of spatial factors and main economic drivers of regional development, the best location of new links of production chains and infrastructure facilities are determined. The analysis of the spatial organization of the population distribution system, location of industrial, social and road transport infrastructure facilities in the Novosibirsk region is given. A number of investment and social scenarios of the regional economic development are simulated and evaluated. The work was carried out using GIS technology in combination with external software module and expert database. A variety of suitability maps for investment and social scenarios, infrastructure-secure areas, and best location of prospective production clusters/chains are generated. It is offered to use the described technology when planning regional economic development