气候变暖条件下新泽西州冬季末和春季的气温变化

IF 2.6 3区 地球科学 Q3 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES
Andra J. Garner, Daniel P. Duran
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引用次数: 0

摘要

温带气候中巨大的温度变化,尤其是冬末春初的温度变化,会对本地生态系统和农作物造成破坏。由于人为气候变化,中纬度地区的气温在一年中提前变暖,春季气温可能会变得不那么稳定,从而对物种和农作物造成潜在的损害,因为这些物种和农作物在最初变暖后很容易受到历史上较低气温(包括晚春霜冻)回归的影响。在这项研究中,我们对 1950-2019 年间新泽西州八个地点的冬末和春季温度变化模式进行了量化。许多位于沿海或沿海平原的站点,气温升至 15.5°C 以上(60°F),然后降至冰点以下(即 0°C 或 32°F)的次数有所增加。新泽西州南部(该州大部分农业区所在地)的站点春季气温变化幅度最大(P<0.05)。在所有观测点中,早在二月份出现的气温变化的比例和幅度都普遍增大。最后,从 20 世纪 50 年代到 2019 年,在 75% 的站点,日最高气温的日变化增加了;在超过一半的站点,日最低气温的日变化在同一时期也增加了。这些极端气温变化的扩大表明,在一年中的这个关键时刻,需要采取减缓和适应战略来保护该地区脆弱的农作物和生态系统。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Late-Winter and Springtime Temperature Variations throughout New Jersey in a Warming Climate
Large temperature variations in a temperate climate, particularly in late-winter and early spring, can be disruptive for native ecosystems and agricultural crops. As warmer temperatures occur earlier in the year in midlatitude regions due to anthropogenic climate change, springtime temperatures may become less consistent, leading to potential damage to species and crops that are vulnerable to the return of historically cooler temperatures, including Late-Spring Frosts, after an initial warm-up. In this work, we quantify shifting patterns in late-winter and springtime temperature variations at eight sites across New Jersey from 1950-2019. Many sites located along the coast or in the coastal plain experience increases in the number of times the temperature climbs above 15.5°C (60°F), and then falls below freezing (i.e., 0°C, or 32°F). Sites in southern New Jersey (where much of the state’s agriculture is located) experience the most significant (P<0.05) increases in large springtime temperature variations. Across all sites, there is a general increase in both the percentage and magnitude of temperature variations that occur as early as February. Finally, at 75% of sites, day-to-day variation in daily maximum temperature has increased from the 1950s through 2019; day-to-day variation in daily minimum temperatures has increased over the same time at more than half of sites considered. These amplifications in extreme temperature variations indicate the need for both mitigation and adaptation strategies to protect vulnerable crops and ecosystems in the region during this critical time of the year.
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来源期刊
Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology
Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology 地学-气象与大气科学
CiteScore
5.10
自引率
6.70%
发文量
97
审稿时长
3 months
期刊介绍: The Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology (JAMC) (ISSN: 1558-8424; eISSN: 1558-8432) publishes applied research on meteorology and climatology. Examples of meteorological research include topics such as weather modification, satellite meteorology, radar meteorology, boundary layer processes, physical meteorology, air pollution meteorology (including dispersion and chemical processes), agricultural and forest meteorology, mountain meteorology, and applied meteorological numerical models. Examples of climatological research include the use of climate information in impact assessments, dynamical and statistical downscaling, seasonal climate forecast applications and verification, climate risk and vulnerability, development of climate monitoring tools, and urban and local climates.
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