Marcos Rodrigues, David Costa Correia Silva, Wladimir Colman de Azevedo Júnior
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引用次数: 0
摘要
本研究旨在分析巴西亚马逊地区农业生产对温室气体排放的影响。使用 Johansen 协整检验和向量误差修正模型（VECM）估计来衡量这种影响，以探讨二氧化碳排放当量、农业生产、牛头数、森林砍伐和农业增加值与国内生产总值之间的短期和长期关系。结果表明，没有证据表明亚马逊地区农业的二氧化碳排放当量存在长期均衡。然而，在短期内，农业生产、森林砍伐和农业增加值占 GDP 的比例会影响温室气体排放量。广泛的生产扩大了亚马逊的农业边界，增加了温室气体排放量，而对农村地区可持续做法的投资和遵守环境制度则有助于减少农业对温室气体排放量的影响。
Agricultural production and GHG emissions in the Brazilian Amazon
This study aimed to analyze the impact of agricultural production in the Brazilian Amazon on greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. This impact was measured using the Johansen cointegration test and the estimation of a vector error correction model (VECM) to explore short and long-run relationships between the equivalent of CO 2 emissions, agricultural production, cattle heads, deforestation, and agricultural value added to GDP. The results indicated no evidence of long-run equilibrium in equivalent CO 2 emissions for agriculture in the Amazon. However, in the short run, agricultural production, deforestation, and agricultural value added to GDP impacted GHG emissions. Extensive production expanded the Amazon’s agricultural frontier and increased GHG emissions, while investments in sustainable practices in rural areas and compliance with environmental institutions contributed to reducing the impact of agriculture on GHG emissions.
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