农业生产对津巴布韦经济增长的影响

Simbarashe Mhaka, Raynold Runganga
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引用次数: 0

摘要

为实现包容性增长,减少贫困和不平等,非洲国家应利用丰富的自然资源和劳动力,加强劳动密集型农业生产。本文采用自回归分布滞后(ARDL)模型,利用 1970 年至 2019 年的数据,研究了农业对津巴布韦经济增长的影响。结果表明,农业生产在短期内对经济增长有显著的积极影响,而在长期内对经济增长没有影响。此外,研究还证实,通货膨胀、政府支出和固定资本总值在长期和短期内对经济增长都有积极影响。虽然农业部门在经济发展的早期阶段发挥了突出作用,但它并不能在津巴布韦长期保持可持续的经济增长。需要更多的宏观经济政策杠杆来补充农业生产,促进可持续经济增长。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Impact of Agricultural Production on Economic Growth in Zimbabwe
To achieve inclusive growth, and poverty and inequality reduction, Africancountries should enhance labour-intensive agricultural production due totheir abundance of natural resources and labour. In this paper, we examinethe impact of agriculture on the economic growth of Zimbabwe usingthe Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model employing data coveringthe period 1970 to 2019. The results show that agricultural productionhas a significant positive impact on economic growth in the short run whileshowing no impact on economic growth in the long run.Additionally, thestudy confirms that inflation, government expenditure and gross fixed capitalformation have a positive impact on economic growth in both the longrun and short run. Although the agricultural sector plays a salient role inthe early stages of economic development, it is, however, not able to maintainsustainable economic growth over a long period in Zimbabwe. Additionalmacro-economic policy levers are required to compliment agriculturalproduction and promote sustainable economic growth.
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