旅游业和二氧化碳排放能否预测发展中国家的技术创新?检验波特和创新克劳迪亚曲线假设

Tafazal Kumail, Wajahat Ali, Farah Sadiq, M. Baqar
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引用次数: 0

摘要

二氧化碳排放浓度的加速上升归因于全球范围内的人类活动,导致温室气体排放增加。人们强烈呼吁通过创新来应对甚至威胁到人类生存的环境问题。从这个角度出发,本研究旨在从环境角度分析 1996 年至 2019 年碳中和理念下的技术创新、旅游业发展、经济增长和人类发展的意义。研究利用动态普通最小二乘法(DOLS)估计研究变量之间的关系,并利用面板向量误差修正模型展示变量的短期和长期联系。结果显示,二氧化碳排放会对技术创新产生积极影响,这证明了波特假说。研究表明,国内生产总值、旅游业和人类发展指数是良好的创新指标,支持了增长主导型创新假说。本研究支持技术与二氧化碳排放之间的创新克劳迪娅曲线理论。此外,研究还探讨了研究期间的环境库兹涅茨曲线(EKC)假说。因果关系分析也支持 DOLS 的长期结果。根据研究结果,本研究对发展中国家未来的研究人员、政策制定者和监管机构实现碳中和和 2030 年议程具有借鉴意义。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Do tourism and CO2 emission predict technological innovation in developing countries: Examining Porter and innovative Claudia curve hypothesis
The accelerating concentration of CO2 emissions is attributed to human activities worldwide, leading to increased greenhouse gas emissions. There is an outcry for innovations to combat the environmental threat to even the existence of the human race. From this perspective, the current study aims to analyze the significance of technological innovation, tourism development, economic growth, and human development from the environmental perspective under the idea of carbon neutrality from 1996 to 2019. The study utilized dynamic ordinary least squares (DOLS) to estimate the relationship between the study variables and the panel vector error correction model to showcase the variables’ short and long-run connections. Results reveal that CO2 emissions positively affect technological innovations, which is evidence of the Porter hypothesis. The study showed that the gross domestic product, tourism, and human development index are good innovation indicators and supported the growth-led innovation hypothesis. This study supports the innovative Claudia curve theory between technology and CO2 emissions. Moreover, the study also investigated the Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) hypothesis during the study period. The causality analysis also supports the long-run results of DOLS. Based on the results, the study has implications for future researchers, policymakers, and regulatory bodies in developing countries to achieve carbon neutrality and Agenda 2030.
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