气候风险复原力发展:对南部非洲气候预警系统的文献计量分析

IF 3 Q2 METEOROLOGY & ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES
Climate Pub Date : 2023-12-26 DOI:10.3390/cli12010003
I. E. Agbehadji, Stefanie Schütte, M. Masinde, Joel Botai, T. Mabhaudhi
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引用次数: 0

摘要

早期预警系统(EWS)可促进社会对气候风险的准备和有效应对能力。气候风险包括与特定地理区域相关的危害、暴露和脆弱性。建立有效的预警系统需要考虑上述因素,以帮助人们建立应对机制。本文的目的是提出一种能够加强预警系统并确保有效发展抵御气候风险能力的方法。本文以南部非洲发展共同体(SADC)地区为重点,强调了预警系统的问题,确定了预警系统的弱点和特点,以帮助制定气候风险适应战略。之所以选择南部非洲发展共同体地区作为背景,是因为该地区是气候多变性和气候变化的热点地区,许多弱势群体居住在农村社区。通过对 2008 年至 2022 年发表的文章进行科学绘图和网络分析,发现了有关建设气候风险抵御能力的趋势性主题。本文有助于正在进行的关于通过预警系统建设气候风险抵御能力的研究,从文章中发现隐藏的趋势和新兴技术,以加强预警系统的可操作性和设计。本综述深入探讨了用于评估气候风险的技术干预措施,以建立防灾和抗灾能力。通过综述分析,可以确定有大量证据支持以下论点,即让社区参与预警系统的共同设计将提高风险知识、预测和防备能力。此外,第四次工业革命(4IR)技术为解决现有预警系统的弱点(如缺乏实时数据收集和自动化)提供了有效工具。然而,4IR 技术在非洲预警系统中的应用仍处于起步阶段。此外,应协调和整合社会、机构和技术行业的政策,以制定战略,实施基于气候复原力的预警系统,促进灾害风险管理者的运作。社会、机构和技术模式有可能提高社区的抗灾能力;因此,建议发展预警系统。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Climate Risks Resilience Development: A Bibliometric Analysis of Climate-Related Early Warning Systems in Southern Africa
Early warning systems (EWS) facilitate societies’ preparedness and effective response capabilities to climate risks. Climate risks embody hazards, exposure, and vulnerability associated with a particular geographical area. Building an effective EWS requires consideration of the factors above to help people with coping mechanisms. The objective of this paper is to propose an approach that can enhance EWSs and ensure an effective climate risk resilience development. The paper focuses on the Southern African Development Community (SADC) region and highlights the issues with EWS, identifying weaknesses and characteristics of EWS to help in climate risk adaptation strategies. The SADC region was chosen as the context because it is a climate variability and change hotspot with many vulnerable populations residing in rural communities. Trending themes on building climate risk resilience were uncovered through scientific mapping and network analysis of published articles from 2008 to 2022. This paper contributes to on-going research on building climate risks resilience through early warning systems to identify hidden trends and emerging technologies from articles in order to enhance the operationalization and design of EWS. This review provides insight into technological interventions for assessing climate risks to build preparedness and resilience. From the review analysis, it is determined that there exists a plethora of evidence to support the argument that involving communities in the co-designing of EWS would improve risk knowledge, anticipation, and preparedness. Additionally, Fourth Industrial Revolution (4IR) technologies provide effective tools to address existing EWS’ weaknesses, such as lack of real-time data collection and automation. However, 4IR technology is still at a nascent stage in EWS applications in Africa. Furthermore, policy across societies, institutions, and technology industries ought to be coordinated and integrated to develop a strategy toward implementing climate resilient-based EWS to facilitate the operations of disaster risk managers. The Social, Institutional, and Technology model can potentially increase communities’ resilience; therefore, it is recommended to develop EWS.
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来源期刊
Climate
Climate Earth and Planetary Sciences-Atmospheric Science
CiteScore
5.50
自引率
5.40%
发文量
172
审稿时长
11 weeks
期刊介绍: Climate is an independent, international and multi-disciplinary open access journal focusing on climate processes of the earth, covering all scales and involving modelling and observation methods. The scope of Climate includes: Global climate Regional climate Urban climate Multiscale climate Polar climate Tropical climate Climate downscaling Climate process and sensitivity studies Climate dynamics Climate variability (Interseasonal, interannual to decadal) Feedbacks between local, regional, and global climate change Anthropogenic climate change Climate and monsoon Cloud and precipitation predictions Past, present, and projected climate change Hydroclimate.
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