2021 年后土耳其货币政策实施转型分析

Banu Demirhan, Erdal Demi̇rhan
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究旨在分析土耳其2021年后实施的货币政策的主要经济影响。与2000年之前实施的政策不同,2021年实施的货币政策反映了一种非正统的方法。由于这些政策以保持低利率为基础,通货膨胀率上升到两位数,中央银行储备迅速减少。截至 2023 年下半年,正统政策已经回归,宏观经济平衡开始改善。尽管自 2023 年下半年以来实施了正统政策,但通胀率并没有显著下降。储备金有部分改善。正统政策能否在土耳其产生预期效果,取决于这些政策的连续性和外国资本的流入。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
ANALYSIS OF TRANSFORMATIONS IN MONETARY POLICY IMPLEMENTATIONS IN TURKEY AFTER 2021
The aim of this study is to analyze the main economic effects of the monetary policies implemented in Turkey after 2021. Monetary policies implemented in 2021 reflect an unorthodox approach, unlike the policies implemented before 2000. As a result of these policies based on keeping interest rates low, the inflation rate rose to double digits and central bank reserves melted rapidly. As of the second half of 2023, orthodox policies have been returned and improvements in macroeconomic balances have begun. Despite the orthodox policies implemented since the second half of 2023, there is no significant decrease in the inflation rate. There is a partial improvement in reserves. Whether orthodox policies produce the desired results in Turkey depends on the continuity of these policies and the inflow of foreign capital.
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