印度妇女首次生育间隔的决定因素

Dewaram A. Nagdeve, Manas Ranjan Pradhan
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摘要

目的婚后的首次生育间隔表明了妇女的生育行为,并影响着人口的出生率和规模。本研究评估了印度妇女婚后初次生育间隔时间的预测因素。 材料和方法:研究采用了 Cox 比例危险模型和 Kaplan Meier 生存图,基于从 2019-2021 年全国家庭健康调查中收集的 79,787 名 15-49 岁年龄组已婚妇女的数据:在印度,从结婚到第一次生育间隔的中位年龄为 23 个月。高龄婚姻组群的生育间隔长于低龄婚姻组群。危险比(HR)显示,受过高等教育的妇女婚后生育第一胎的风险(HR=2.05,95% 置信区间(CI)=1.98-2.11)远高于未受过教育的妇女。城市妇女(HR=1.22,95% 置信区间=1.20-1.25)比农村妇女婚后初次生育的风险更高。东北部(HR=1.14,95%CI=1.10-1.18)和南部(HR=1.15,95%CI=1.12-1.19)的妇女比北部地区的妇女婚后早育的风险更高。与 18 岁以下结婚的妇女相比,18-24 岁结婚的妇女间隔生育第一胎的可能性高出 69%。与其他妇女相比,婚后推迟到 25 岁及以上的妇女首次生育的风险会增加(HR=3.18,95% CI=3.02-3.35)。 结论第一次生育的时间与第一次婚姻结合的年龄、妇女的教育程度、居住地、地区、经济状况、接触大众媒体的程度、避孕药具的使用以及终止妊娠史有关。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Determinants of The First Birth Interval Among Women in India
Objective: The first-birth interval after a marriage indicates the reproduction behavior of women and influences the population's birth rates and size. The present study assesses predictors of the interval between marriage and first childbirth in India. Materials and methods: The study employed the Cox proportional hazard model and Kaplan Meier Survival plot based on the data collected from 79,787 ever-married women in the 15-49 age group from the National Family Health Survey 2019-2021 Results: The median age of marriage to the first birth interval was 23 months in India. The older marriage cohort had longer birth intervals than the younger. The hazard ratios (HR) showed that the risk of first birth after marriage was much higher among women with higher education (HR= 2.05, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.98-2.11) than women without education. Women in urban areas (HR=1.22, 95% CI = 1.20-1.25) had a higher risk of first birth after marriage earlier than women from rural areas. Women from North-east (HR=1.14, 95%CI=1.10-1.18) and South (HR=1.15, 95%CI=1.12-1.19) had a higher risk of having their first birth earlier after marriage than women in the North region. The women who married within 18-24 years of age had a 69 percent higher likelihood of first birth interval than those women who were married below the age of 18. The risk of first birth after marriage increased as women delayed marriage up to age 25 years and more (HR=3.18, 95% CI=3.02-3.35) than others. Conclusion: The timing of first birth was associated with the age at the first marital union, women's educational attainment, place of residence, region, economic status, exposure to mass media, contraception use, and history of pregnancy termination.
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