量化交易的深度强化学习

Maochun Xu, Zixun Lan, Zheng Tao, Jiawei Du, Zongao Ye
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摘要

通过部署先进的算法,人工智能(AI)和机器学习(ML)正在改变量化交易(QT)领域,这些算法能够通过广泛的金融数据集筛选出有利的投资机会。人工智能驱动的模型,特别是那些采用深度学习和强化学习等人工智能技术的模型,在预测市场趋势和执行交易方面表现出了巨大的优势,其速度和准确性远远超过了人类的能力。其自动执行关键任务的能力,如辨别市场行情和执行交易策略,一直都是至关重要的。然而,当前的 QT 方法仍然存在挑战,尤其是在有效处理嘈杂的高频金融数据方面。为了克服这些障碍,我们提出的解决方案 QTNet 引入了一种自适应交易模型,通过智能交易代理自主制定 QT 策略。通过将深度强化学习(DRL)与模仿学习方法相结合,我们提高了模型的能力。为了应对波动性金融数据集带来的挑战,我们在部分可观测马尔可夫决策过程(POMDP)的框架内对 QT 机制进行了概念化。此外,通过嵌入定量学习,该模型可以利用传统的交易策略,在发现和利用之间形成平衡的协同效应。为了进行逼真的模拟,我们的交易代理使用来自实时金融市场的分钟频率数据进行训练。实验结果表明,该模型能熟练地提取稳健的市场特征,并能适应不同的市场条件。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Deep Reinforcement Learning for Quantitative Trading
Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Machine Learning (ML) are transforming the domain of Quantitative Trading (QT) through the deployment of advanced algorithms capable of sifting through extensive financial datasets to pinpoint lucrative investment openings. AI-driven models, particularly those employing ML techniques such as deep learning and reinforcement learning, have shown great prowess in predicting market trends and executing trades at a speed and accuracy that far surpass human capabilities. Its capacity to automate critical tasks, such as discerning market conditions and executing trading strategies, has been pivotal. However, persistent challenges exist in current QT methods, especially in effectively handling noisy and high-frequency financial data. Striking a balance between exploration and exploitation poses another challenge for AI-driven trading agents. To surmount these hurdles, our proposed solution, QTNet, introduces an adaptive trading model that autonomously formulates QT strategies through an intelligent trading agent. Incorporating deep reinforcement learning (DRL) with imitative learning methodologies, we bolster the proficiency of our model. To tackle the challenges posed by volatile financial datasets, we conceptualize the QT mechanism within the framework of a Partially Observable Markov Decision Process (POMDP). Moreover, by embedding imitative learning, the model can capitalize on traditional trading tactics, nurturing a balanced synergy between discovery and utilization. For a more realistic simulation, our trading agent undergoes training using minute-frequency data sourced from the live financial market. Experimental findings underscore the model's proficiency in extracting robust market features and its adaptability to diverse market conditions.
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