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引用次数: 0
摘要
养老基金和保险公司在对冲长寿风险方面面临着困难,长寿风险是指客户寿命的不确定性。一个可行的解决方案是使用与长寿挂钩的证券,将部分风险转移给其他方。然而,这些证券可能与保险公司客户的实际死亡率不匹配,从而导致基础风险造成的潜在损失。在本文中,我们通过对偿付能力 II 下的长寿衍生品进行定价来衡量这种基础风险。我们还将这种方法与金融领域的其他常见定价方法进行了比较。我们探讨并评估了保险公司的不同对冲策略,使用了一个从二维赫尔和怀特模型衍生出来的多人口模型,该模型捕捉了死亡率随时间变化的动态。
Pricing and hedging of longevity basis risk through securitisation
Pension funds and insurers face difficulties in hedging their longevity risk, which is the uncertainty of how long their clients will live. A possible solution could be using longevity-linked securities to transfer some of this risk to other parties. However, these securities may not match the actual mortality rates of the insurer’s clients, resulting in a potential loss due to basis risk. In this paper, we measure this basis risk through the pricing of a longevity derivative under Solvency II. We also compare this method with other common pricing methods in finance. We explore and evaluate different hedging strategies for insurers, using a multi-population model derived from a two-dimensional Hull and White model that captures the dynamics of mortality over time.