A. Sajib, Shakib Hasan Limon, Adiat Ibn Naser, Goutam Saha
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引用次数: 0
摘要
在过去十年中,T20 板球赛制在板球界的受欢迎程度急剧上升。虽然英格兰、巴基斯坦、澳大利亚、印度和南非等顶级球队已经轻松地接受了这种赛制,但孟加拉国、阿富汗、津巴布韦和斯里兰卡等其他国家的球队在适应这种赛制时却面临着挑战。本研究利用来自 ESPNcricinfo 的数据,试图找出影响孟加拉国男子板球队表现的关键因素。由于响应变量为二元变量(比赛获胜或失败),因此考虑采用二元逻辑回归模型来分析数据。从二元逻辑回归的输出结果可以看出,"地点"(比赛场地)、"最多小门"(至少有一名球员拿下 3 个或更多小门)和 "一位数得分"(表示小于 3 个、3 到 6 个或超过 6 个击球手得分在一位数范围内的情况)等因素对球队表现有明显的统计学影响。值得注意的是,沙基布-哈桑(Shakib Al Hasan)的加入和五大支柱(马什拉菲-本-莫尔塔扎(Mashrafe Bin Mortaza)、塔米姆-伊克巴尔(Tamim Iqbal)、沙基布-哈桑(Shakib Al Hasan)、穆什菲克-拉希姆(Mushfiqur Rahim)和马哈穆杜拉-里亚德(Mahmudullah Riyad)的同时在场)等变量并未对球队的表现产生任何实质性影响。这些研究结果有可能为旨在提高孟加拉国男子板球队成绩的战略规划提供参考。
Over the past decade, the T20 cricket format has witnessed a remarkable surge in popularity within the cricketing community. While top-tier teams such as England, Pakistan, Australia, India, and South Africa have embraced this format with ease, others like Bangladesh, Afghanistan, Zimbabwe, and Sri Lanka are facing challenges in adapting to it. This study seeks to identify the key factors influencing the performance of the Bangladesh men's cricket team, utilizing data sourced from ESPNcricinfo. The binary logistic regression model is considered to analyze the data as the response variable is binary (match won or lost). Examining the output of the binary logistic regression, it becomes evident that factors such as 'Location' (the venue where a match took place), 'Most Wickets' (wherein at least one player took 3 or more wickets), and 'One-Digit Score' (signifying scenarios where less than 3, 3 to 6, or more than 6 batsmen scored in the one-digit range) exhibit notable and statistically significant effects on team performance. Notably, variables such as the inclusion of Shakib Al Hasan and the Five Pillars (the concurrent presence of Mashrafe Bin Mortaza, Tamim Iqbal, Shakib Al Hasan, Mushfiqur Rahim, and Mahmudullah Riyad) do not demonstrate any substantial impact on the team's performance. These research findings hold the potential to inform strategic planning aimed at enhancing the Bangladesh men's cricket team's performance.