可再生能源支持计划的实施效果(以太阳能为例)

O. V. Kudryavtseva, S. V. Vasilyev, T. G. Zoryna
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引用次数: 0

摘要

目的:对可再生能源支持计划实施的动态和前景进行综合分析,并评估其有效性。方法:比较、综合、系统方法、概括、统计和经济分析。结果:作者对可再生能源支持计划实施的系统效应进行了综合分析。研究了国家支持可再生能源发电机(进一步称为 RES)的机制。这些机制旨在减少排放、降低成本、创造新的就业机会等,这为俄罗斯提供了一个创建成熟的可再生能源产业的独特机会。作者以太阳能为分析对象,评估了电力和容量批发市场(WECM)中可再生能源开发的经济效益。作者分析了可再生能源发展带来的收益,包括通过实施国家可再生能源项目支持计划和 2013-2024 年可再生能源发展计划获得的收益。分析了可再生能源产业发展过程中产生的经济和非经济效益。这些影响包括:由于可再生能源设施取代了传统发电设施,从而替代了传统发电设施在能源生产中消耗的化石燃料;降低了电力批发市场的价格;减少了温室气体的排放;降低了减少对环境和健康的负面影响的措施的成本;减少了强制征收的费用;创造了新的就业机会。科学新颖性:对俄罗斯联邦可再生能源产业扶持计划实施的系统效果进行了综合分析。以太阳能为例,证明了支持计划的实施效率。实际意义:获得的结果和揭示的规律性可用于预测可再生能源的发展,同时考虑到经济和非经济后果。当局可利用这些结果评估可再生能源发电设施支持政策的有效性,并选择最有利的支持机制。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
Effectiveness of the renewable energy support program implementation (by the example of solar energy)
Objective: to conduct a comprehensive analysis of the dynamics and prospects of the renewable energy support program implementation and to assess its effectiveness.Methods: comparison, synthesis, system approach, generalization, statistical and economic analysis.Results: the authors conducted a comprehensive analysis of system effects from the implementation of renewable energy support programs. The mechanisms of state support of renewable energy generators (further – RES) were studied. These mechanisms are aimed at reducing emissions and costs, creating new jobs, etc., which provides Russia with a unique opportunity to create a full-fledged RES industry. The authors assessed the economic efficiency of renewable energy development in the Wholesale Electricity and Capacity Market (WECM), taking solar energy for analysis. The benefits were analyzed, which are acquired as a result of renewable energy development, including by implementation of the state program of RES projects support and the RES development program for 2013-2024. Economic and non-economic effects arising in the process of RES industry development were analyzed. These are: substitution of fossil fuel consumed in energy production by conventional generation facilities, due to the replacement of conventional generation facilities by RES facilities; reduction of prices in the wholesale electricity market; reduction of greenhouse gas emissions; reduction of costs of measures to reduce the negative impact on the environment and health protection; reduction of compulsory levied payments; creation of new jobs. In conclusion, the prospects of RES development in the state nearest to Russia – the Republic of Belarus – were analyzed, which is important for energy cooperation.Scientific novelty: a comprehensive analysis of system effects from the implementation of the program to support the RES industry in the Russian Federation was carried out. The efficiency of the support program implementation was proved by the example of solar energy. The prospects of the program implementation in the Russian economy were shown.Practical significance: the obtained results and the revealed regularities can be used to make forecasts of renewable energy development taking into account economic and non-economic consequences. They can be used by the authorities to assess the support policy effectiveness of RES generating facilities, as well as to select the most favorable support mechanisms.
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